NHL · resolved market
KHL: Torpedo vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b110b8ccb59fdfd396202effc86531e1883a1ddb45dd042b2e5ad2b68ccb815
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metallurg Magnitogorskof Torpedo, Metallurg Magnitogorsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Torpedo | 45c | 535.96$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.25 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 60c | 427$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.85 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 299.34$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.26 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 63c | 246.44$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Torpedo | 37c | 215.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Torpedo | 34c | 178.19$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…54c9backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 40c | 144.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.24 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Torpedo | 14c | 121.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Torpedo | 37c | 100.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 62c | 80.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Torpedo | 60c | 61.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Torpedo | 38c | 52.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Torpedo | 50c | 52.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 50c | 50.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 61c | 45.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Torpedo | 35c | 45.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 66c | 44.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Torpedo | 61c | 42.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Torpedo | 37c | 41.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…fde8backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 50c | 38.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…8fbfbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 64c | 35.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 46c | 33.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Torpedo | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5da…5f86backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 64c | 29.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 65c | 29.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…4d42backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 52c | 29.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Torpedo | 53c | 29.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 68c | 26.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 64c | 24.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…2baabacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dc…1318backed Torpedo | 50c | 20.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 58c | 17.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 65c | 15.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.