NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bae0108e2565f82f0d6815adf28724705c7c098b74963c30e6f98660622343c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 54c | 1,333$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.84 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe15b…bff1backed Under | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Under | 61c | 458.87$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.92 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 39c | 362.87$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.52 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…dd9ebacked Over | 57c | 341.93$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.19 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -13.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 44c | 287.97$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.26 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Over | 57c | 258.69$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.74 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 248.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 46c | 233.23$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 54c | 231.39$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 46c | 215.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.83 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 46c | 205.61$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.03 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 42c | 157.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.46 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 56c | 150.15$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 56c | 139.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 134.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 53c | 121.62$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 116.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 56c | 115$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 35c | 114$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 56c | 87.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 56c | 64.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 23c | 63.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 62c | 53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Under | 38c | 53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7898…b60dbacked Over | 49c | 49.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 55c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 43c | 40.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 43c | 38.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Under | 47c | 38.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 44c | 38.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 72c | 31.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 30.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…7291backed Under | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9257…2320backed Over | 54c | 24.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…58d8backed Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712d…1d71backed Under | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3d…1da5backed Over | 55c | 20.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…561cbacked Over | 54c | 19.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e0…38cbbacked Over | 55c | 18.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Under | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5this page
- Bruins vs. FlyersFlyers won
- Bruins vs. Flyers: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Bruins vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.