CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vexar vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7de07515c2be4dc0ed56212cd710580f9dd66469a738cb03ad35d0acde014b3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Academyof Vexar, Inner Circle Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Inner Circle Academy | 56c | 2,700$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.08 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdced…c799backed Vexar | 32c | 1,794$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.75 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Vexar | 59c | 1,750$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.2 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Inner Circle Academy | 38c | 989.99$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.09 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Inner Circle Academy | 40c | 845.45$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.27 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Inner Circle Academy | 37c | 583$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.6 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Inner Circle Academy | 65c | 575.46$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.2 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Vexar | 50c | 542$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.62 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Vexar | 59c | 467.62$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.18 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Inner Circle Academy | 47c | 453.88$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.28 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Vexar | 45c | 400.47$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.74 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Vexar | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Vexar | 58c | 360$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.1 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ea…7668backed Vexar | 63c | 319.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed Vexar | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Inner Circle Academy | 36c | 254.1$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.1 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Vexar | 40c | 251.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Inner Circle Academy | 33c | 226.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.08 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Inner Circle Academy | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Inner Circle Academy | 48c | 149.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.41 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Vexar | 39c | 138.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Inner Circle Academy | 50c | 133.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Inner Circle Academy | 53c | 126.94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Vexar | 63c | 126.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Inner Circle Academy | 45c | 121.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Vexar | 52c | 103.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Inner Circle Academy | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Vexar | 58c | 88.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Inner Circle Academy | 36c | 86.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…300dbacked Inner Circle Academy | 78c | 65.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle Academy | 55c | 64.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8226…7a58backed Vexar | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Inner Circle Academy | 74c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…f417backed Inner Circle Academy | 57c | 50.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…95ebbacked Vexar | 59c | 44.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Inner Circle Academy | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Inner Circle Academy | 61c | 26.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Inner Circle Academy | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Inner Circle Academy | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Vexar | 67c | 22.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Vexar | 67c | 22.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Vexar | 67c | 18.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…8820backed Inner Circle Academy | 75c | 13.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vexar vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vexar vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 1 WinnerInner Circle Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Vexar vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 WinnerVexar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.