CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Falcons Force - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33fafadf56ff1f3ab467b0d1e31c2dbab815800a1032b9db09858ab5287fa991
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Falcons Forceof INOX Division, Falcons Force
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked INOX Division | 35c | 1,500$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.64 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked INOX Division | 56c | 1,271$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.58 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…6c9dbacked Falcons Force | 37c | 1,065$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.71 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Falcons Force | 53c | 507.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.77 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Falcons Force | 43c | 462.87$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.97 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Falcons Force | 50c | 432.6$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.45 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed Falcons Force | 36c | 350.58$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.58 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Falcons Force | 47c | 344.76$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.76 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Falcons Force | 30c | 327$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.55 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked INOX Division | 50c | 295.65$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.21 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed Falcons Force | 42c | 285$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.95 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed INOX Division | 58c | 251.19$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed INOX Division | 58c | 234.68$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.54 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…8573backed INOX Division | 54c | 222.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.67 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed INOX Division | 59c | 215.43$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.29 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Falcons Force | 73c | 207.9$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Falcons Force | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Falcons Force | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked INOX Division | 53c | 188.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked INOX Division | 59c | 170.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Falcons Force | 61c | 146$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Falcons Force | 45c | 145.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Falcons Force | 55c | 142.44$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked INOX Division | 50c | 135.49$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Falcons Force | 76c | 132.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed INOX Division | 58c | 132$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Falcons Force | 30c | 125$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.35 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Falcons Force | 49c | 118.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…44c9backed Falcons Force | 44c | 117.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Falcons Force | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…7039backed Falcons Force | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed Falcons Force | 33c | 92.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…6197backed Falcons Force | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Falcons Force | 59c | 85.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Falcons Force | 54c | 83.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked INOX Division | 47c | 80.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Falcons Force | 67c | 74.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked INOX Division | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked INOX Division | 16c | 66.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Falcons Force | 45c | 63.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac9a…1152backed INOX Division | 71c | 57.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Falcons Force | 35c | 55.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…ce83backed Falcons Force | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…5e63backed INOX Division | 22c | 52.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed INOX Division | 63c | 42.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed INOX Division | 63c | 37.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed INOX Division | 55c | 36.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked INOX Division | 63c | 35.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…1044backed INOX Division | 43c | 33.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed INOX Division | 63c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked INOX Division | 59c | 26.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Falcons Force | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed INOX Division | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked INOX Division | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed INOX Division | 64c | 15.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Falcons Force - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 PlayoffsINOX Division won
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Falcons Force - Map 2 WinnerINOX Division won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.