Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AZ win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2385efe7a580be51662a83356e85f0253e537c934c612b874f883def2749aee5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,723 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed No | 58c | 8,123$4,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,411.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 42c | 5,883$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.64 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 4,979$2,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.53 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 2,527$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.82 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 2,206$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.36 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 63c | 1,428$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.9 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Yes | 41c | 1,395$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.97 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 800.88$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.99 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 36c | 776.13$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.75 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 17c | 593.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Yes | 41c | 585.37$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 27c | 529.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.68 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 41c | 507.3$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 19c | 500$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 59c | 472.14$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.82 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b41…764cbacked Yes | 41c | 344.05$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 43c | 273.59$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.64 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…1a8dbacked Yes | 41c | 259.42$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 41c | 225$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 71c | 214.07$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Yes | 16c | 208$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 9c | 172.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +287.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 59c | 150$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 58c | 127$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 58c | 122.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked No | 59c | 109.82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +52%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked No | 56c | 102.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…261cbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Yes | 18c | 97.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 39c | 92.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8740backed Yes | 38c | 91.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa9…5da8backed Yes | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 19c | 80.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 18c | 77.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 44c | 69.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 16c | 68.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Yes | 43c | 63.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 43c | 56.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 43c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 19c | 53.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 61c | 51.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 57c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 43c | 48.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 62c | 48.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 59c | 46.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 39c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 62c | 38.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 42c | 36.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 41c | 35.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…570cbacked Yes | 43c | 33.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 32.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 40c | 29.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Yes | 44c | 29.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 57c | 27.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 59c | 26.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 43c | 24.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 73c | 15.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will FC Groningen vs. AZ end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.