Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5c7f71f3d3db6fbf5e3bc1a9f6df2e858d5f82302d9fcf81c84645f49b69c5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,959 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 9c | 22,782$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.38 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 76c | 18,440$13,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,496.9 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 10c | 5,212$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.32 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Yes | 33c | 4,775$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 11c | 2,218$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.41 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 33c | 1,750$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.5 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 1,735$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.47 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 1,620$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.77 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 79c | 1,085$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.39 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked No | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 7c | 974.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 67c | 636$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.12 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 44c | 578.44$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.95 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 403.89$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.34 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 35c | 374.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.74 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed No | 4c | 355.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 299.6$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.61 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 67c | 250$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 35c | 249.56$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.2 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 33c | 249$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.83 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 70c | 238.69$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.08 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 44c | 226.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 67c | 198.38$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.92 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 37c | 178.94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b41…764cbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 172$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.24 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed No | 12c | 166.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Yes | 31c | 156.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.31 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 67c | 140$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 44c | 140$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 67c | 120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 67c | 120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 55c | 103.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 67c | 99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed No | 67c | 90$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 69c | 89.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 41c | 85.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 43c | 82.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 67c | 70$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…0366backed Yes | 34c | 59.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed No | 69c | 45.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 33c | 40.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 57c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed No | 70c | 23.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…05cbbacked No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…57c9backed Yes | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…9476backed Yes | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 58c | 18.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…c09abacked Yes | 57c | 18.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will AZ win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will FC Groningen vs. AZ end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.