Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef7d8ccca9e2593d6dfe047be69ae8e8b2d02d11df5f590e95db7c6be670d789
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 27c | 10,326$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.11 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 2,446$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.7 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 56c | 2,258$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.54 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 40c | 1,974$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.54 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 61c | 1,357$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.98 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 62c | 1,296$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.65 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 1,138$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.42 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 33c | 937.77$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.59 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 19c | 548.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.17 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 43c | 537.71$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.84 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked Under | 72c | 385.25$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Under | 66c | 370$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 41c | 312.21$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.14 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 63c | 195.5$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…da1fbacked Under | 64c | 155.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 46c | 109.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 41c | 97.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Under | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 19c | 69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 61c | 68.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Under | 56c | 53.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 39c | 41.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 30c | 38.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec7…79babacked Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…5bd2backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.