Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfac62a71053447ba685b6c299b3ae308a8b5788c01d4b8ac933f3f504f9890a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 30c | 9,334$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 43c | 3,840$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.36 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…b722backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…c8e9backed Under | 58c | 1,732$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 60c | 1,700$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,572$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.13 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 2c | 1,354$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 1,724 | 36.5%629 W · 1,095 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 70c | 1,000$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 965.97$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.83 | 2,566 | 42.1%1,081 W · 1,485 L | +52.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Over | 11c | 811.43$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 70c | 666$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 290 | 36.2%105 W · 185 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 58c | 629.63$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.7 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 12c | 615$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.2 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 62c | 508.17$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.13 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 27c | 499.8$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.96 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 73c | 450$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 1,818 | 50.4%917 W · 901 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Under | 70c | 408.27$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.48 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 64c | 399.05$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.18 | 940 | 44.7%420 W · 520 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 45c | 381$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.6 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Under | 55c | 363.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.73 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 70c | 361.13$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.34 | 227 | 53.7%122 W · 105 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 70c | 321$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 1,116 | 41.6%464 W · 652 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 34c | 264.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 68c | 249.96$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 560 | 47%263 W · 297 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 19c | 242.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.11 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 54c | 225.54$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 2,585 | 40%1,035 W · 1,550 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 261 | 52.5%137 W · 124 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 40c | 195$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.45 | 215 | 39.5%85 W · 130 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 37c | 181.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 70c | 139.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 336 | 52.7%177 W · 159 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 41c | 104.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 375 | 53.6%201 W · 174 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 35c | 103.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 344 | 55.2%190 W · 154 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Over | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Over | 68c | 96.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Under | 50c | 84.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 48c | 83.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 67c | 77.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 27c | 74.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 76c | 64.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 38c | 63.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 69c | 59.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 375 | 52%195 W · 180 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 28c | 58.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 2,036 | 54.2%1,104 W · 932 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 32c | 53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 53c | 49.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +9.0wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 71c | 47.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 71c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 51c | 38.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 581 | 45.6%265 W · 316 L | -23.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 56c | 33.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Under | 67c | 30.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 51c | 28.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…d5fdbacked Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 52c | 22.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 785 | 55.7%437 W · 348 L | +38.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…5ea3backed Under | 65c | 20.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Under | 74c | 20.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 74c | 19.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…47f5backed Under | 72c | 16.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Over | 77c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.