Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa28bca895c8fac819faa1ccca78c5802e5e04d5cd04ec39fa09bfaf8087c28d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 48c | 4,216$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Under | 48c | 3,117$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 40c | 2,850$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.69 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 55c | 1,941$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.56 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 1,307$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.65 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 44c | 1,294$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.05 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 10c | 1,146$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.52 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 65c | 1,066$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.76 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa1…792fbacked Under | 46c | 1,002$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 54c | 960.21$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.59 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked Over | 53c | 570.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.75 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 9c | 541.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 46c | 500$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.16 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 449.95$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.47 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…edacbacked Over | 46c | 434.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 410.13$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.07 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 9c | 409.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 47c | 245.95$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 52c | 230$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 5c | 225.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +13.5wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 24c | 208.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 54c | 154.02$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Under | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Under | 46c | 139.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 8c | 130$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 48c | 121.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 50c | 112.17$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 45c | 105.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 374 | 59.1%221 W · 153 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…7ba3backed Over | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 77.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 54c | 69.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 47c | 68.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Under | 47c | 66.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 18c | 62.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…a842backed Under | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 55c | 58.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x757c…d1bfbacked Under | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 54c | 51.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 400 | 51%204 W · 196 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 55c | 49.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…9169backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 54c | 43.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 44c | 41.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Over | 54c | 30.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +150.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 49c | 23.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.