Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9850f313bee72ccc22f47494671d5b3a70d33d65899922e982c3836c2ea5d97d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 28c | 1,720$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.77 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked Under | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Under | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 6c | 740.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 32c | 499.96$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 4c | 482.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 34c | 450$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 31c | 385.23$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.72 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 32c | 310$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Over | 66c | 272$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.48 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Over | 66c | 233$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 66c | 155.4$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 66c | 152$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 78c | 82.63$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 30c | 79.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 27c | 79.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 76c | 76.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 74c | 61.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Under | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 34c | 49.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 68c | 35.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…5bd2backed Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 69c | 23.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 74c | 19.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.