South American Leagues · resolved market
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41bea1233ec52afcdfc99774222d40fd5a8bc919fc59f0b9a5e56bfc3a255c37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 19c | 17,666$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,356.56 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 6,098$4,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.44 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 20c | 4,671$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.7 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…8cf1backed Yes | 18c | 4,472$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes | 24c | 4,171$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.67 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 3,992$3,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.76 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 78c | 3,528$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.06 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 80c | 2,278$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.77 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 19c | 2,179$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.08 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 1,978$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.89 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 20c | 1,961$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.53 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 20c | 1,074$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.61 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 80c | 960.67$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.78 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 19c | 746$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.29 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 709.17$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.59 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Yes | 21c | 555.43$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 20c | 550$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 19c | 489.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd54b…f03bbacked Yes | 22c | 386.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 20c | 334.05$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes | 19c | 313.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 310$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 21c | 299.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x452d…fa12backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 20c | 251.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 24c | 248.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 14c | 204.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 23c | 194.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 80c | 176.73$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 13c | 162.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 18c | 149.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfde4…50f7backed Yes | 18c | 121.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…a35abacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1481…3ff0backed Yes | 21c | 114.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 26c | 104.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 20c | 102.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 19c | 101.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…8f4fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…a7d5backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec7…4f0ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 97.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked Yes | 19c | 96.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…d74abacked Yes | 22c | 93.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…f498backed Yes | 21c | 85.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed No | 79c | 74.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d0…5b25backed Yes | 20c | 71.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…57d6backed Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 21c | 69.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…5d6ebacked Yes | 23c | 66.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes | 23c | 62.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 77c | 60.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…9547backed Yes | 21c | 60.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 80c | 57.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes | 25c | 52.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…2e0fbacked Yes | 24c | 51.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…0209backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef4…95c7backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…df0ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 80c | 48.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed No | 74c | 46.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked Yes | 35c | 38.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…f022backed No | 79c | 29.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8736…dfaebacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 77c | 25.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 79c | 24.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7101…884bbacked No | 79c | 23.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 80c | 18.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 79c | 16.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…45fbbacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 79c | 14.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-28?this page
- Will Millonarios FC vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-04-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.