Mls · resolved market
Real Salt Lake vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe05abc5ee1cc5766a578e89e2cb21927e4bbc7a5eab2a3113ccea018c3a27b29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 47c | 5,779$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.58 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 51c | 2,032$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.76 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 53c | 1,735$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.55 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 45c | 1,678$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.99 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed Under | 7c | 1,281$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 51c | 1,113$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 925.51$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.6 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 37c | 841.07$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.32 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 49c | 816.8$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.8 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 66c | 768.8$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.87 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 55c | 727.26$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 26c | 698.51$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.37 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Under | 54c | 562$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.44 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 493$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.29 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…28e6backed Under | 53c | 405.66$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 50c | 400$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.43 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…7e3fbacked Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 49c | 316.1$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.57 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 61c | 282.34$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.84 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 64c | 275.4$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 50c | 258.35$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.17 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 210.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 34c | 200.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 57c | 195.4$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 56c | 179.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 58c | 179.96$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.37 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 176.25$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 68c | 161$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 64c | 144.6$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 65c | 133.8$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0169backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 52c | 113.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 50c | 99.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 54cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 53c | 94.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 50c | 79.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 53c | 76.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -7.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 68c | 73.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 68c | 73.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 44c | 68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 52c | 67.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 43c | 66.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…403ebacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 49c | 60.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 79c | 57.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 53c | 52.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 57c | 52.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 51c | 49.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 52c | 47.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 51c | 45.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Over | 50c | 39.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 41c | 35.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Over | 51c | 32.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 34c | 32.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Under | 53c | 30.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 52c | 29.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 51c | 27.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Under | 54c | 25.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 55c | 20.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 53c | 20.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Salt Lake vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Salt Lake vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Salt Lake vs. San Diego FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. San Diego FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Real Salt Lake (-1.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: Real Salt Lake (-2.5)San Diego FC won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-2.5)Real Salt Lake won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.