Asian League · resolved market
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x823bce0580f66ec5a3aca37f5c74d9c0b72018bbcb576009e6e1960abcc5d251
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 1,952$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.24 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 50c | 1,920$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Under | 68c | 733.63$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 28c | 342$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.99 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 72c | 225$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed Under | 50c | 205$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed Under | 53c | 183.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed Under | 57c | 181.34$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 161.09$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.44 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…ea85backed Under | 40c | 135$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 129.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.31 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 34c | 129.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.59 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 124.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 73c | 117$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.41 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 34c | 75.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 31c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 66c | 65.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 58.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 67c | 57.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Under | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.