Asian League · resolved market
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2ae41cdbf50a1a7e270ee3bf73c07cd2c63295af7697edff68cbc948ba8cda2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 47c | 3,710$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.94 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 1,180$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.15 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 60c | 1,092$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.44 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 1,070$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 53c | 804.62$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.17 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 748.49$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.99 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 65c | 486.91$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.54 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Under | 69c | 470.7$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 51c | 438.21$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.64 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 436.15$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.65 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 55c | 370.93$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.93 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 43c | 290.12$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.75 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Over | 45c | 212.53$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 55c | 211.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 53c | 188$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 56c | 168.85$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.89 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 56c | 168.85$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.89 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 40c | 162.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 56c | 162.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…5760backed Under | 57c | 140.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Over | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 67c | 101.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 49c | 94.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 57c | 88.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 57c | 87.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 85.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 53c | 65.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Over | 48c | 61.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 58c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Under | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 55c | 51.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…2b18backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x185b…0f27backed Over | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…148dbacked Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…288ebacked Under | 51c | 38.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under | 57c | 29.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Under | 57c | 29.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 58c | 28.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8c…42d1backed Under | 55c | 25.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 43c | 24.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 50c | 22.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 65c | 20.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.