Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7585f22e8ed4befffbce713274ec17d4c777d89bab8d36cd5330b05fbc04d747
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FCof Chongqing Tonglianglong FC, Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 22c | 484.47$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.27 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 76c | 356.48$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.92 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 76c | 174.61$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.06 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 78c | 114$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 77c | 87.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 77c | 87.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 78c | 86.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba37…dedcbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 25c | 64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 78c | 51.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 78c | 51.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 77c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…7ff1backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 78c | 14.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)this page
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.