TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FCof Chongqing Tonglianglong FC, Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,586
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,586 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4587…4bf7backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC10c828$83 inLost-$82.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x706c…a1babacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC10c793$79 inLost-$79.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC8c289.08$23 inLost-$22.721,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x804b…1d41backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC48c203.02$97 inWon+$105.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ca…a0bbbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC48c194.23$93 inWon+$101250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e31…9df1backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC48c191.95$92 inWon+$99.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4078…20e7backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC48c191.62$92 inWon+$99.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5981…7c4dbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC48c190.51$91 inWon+$99.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x770d…9458backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC48c188.44$90 inWon+$97.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d20…fd3dbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC48c187.12$90 inWon+$97.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x743b…ada6backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC48c185.01$89 inWon+$96.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…6ebfbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC48c184.76$89 inWon+$96.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4448…90dabacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC48c182.64$88 inWon+$94.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56d6…2562backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC48c182.6$88 inWon+$94.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3b3…b404backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC48c180.81$87 inWon+$94.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17df…f015backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC48c179.81$86 inWon+$93.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb3…6c6fbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC48c178.47$86 inWon+$92.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5470…026dbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC48c177.18$85 inWon+$92.132100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.