Premier League · resolved market
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4af65a4da484c2a6657196705e5661b7fb8c60788c53acf03b8c3eeb76e3242a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arsenal FCof AFC Bournemouth, Arsenal FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed AFC Bournemouth | 6c | 6,128$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.86 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AFC Bournemouth | 5c | 2,439$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.26 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed AFC Bournemouth | 4c | 1,970$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked AFC Bournemouth | 3c | 957.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…f7bbbacked AFC Bournemouth | 3c | 690$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22b…b34dbacked AFC Bournemouth | 3c | 669$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cfa6backed AFC Bournemouth | 3c | 667$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…8da6backed AFC Bournemouth | 10c | 236.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed AFC Bournemouth | 9c | 193.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked AFC Bournemouth | 9c | 144.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)this page
- Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.