CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfacbc1b66f1863b5f92708b585c83e94677d945a1cc0a22f5e891e4429984ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof MANA eSports, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed MANA eSports | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.98 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MANA eSports | 1c | 4,608$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ NXT | 55c | 2,960$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.84 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 2,800$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MANA eSports | 37c | 1,829$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.8 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 1,654$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.5 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…f251backed MOUZ NXT | 79c | 1,514$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 858.62$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.62 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 845.54$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.13 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked MANA eSports | 47c | 771.11$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.5 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked MANA eSports | 43c | 712.8$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.28 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked MANA eSports | 46c | 648.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MANA eSports | 37c | 631.47$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.57 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 608$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 355.43$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.28 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed MANA eSports | 43c | 352$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.36 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked MOUZ NXT | 57c | 352$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.36 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked MOUZ NXT | 62c | 261.93$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed MANA eSports | 62c | 257.07$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked MOUZ NXT | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…95c5backed MANA eSports | 11c | 217.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked MANA eSports | 50c | 198.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 162.21$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed MANA eSports | 40c | 133.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9181…64acbacked MOUZ NXT | 74c | 130.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed MOUZ NXT | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…c2debacked MANA eSports | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed MANA eSports | 49c | 97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked MOUZ NXT | 44c | 96.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked MOUZ NXT | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…d9b9backed MOUZ NXT | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed MANA eSports | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9492…06b2backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 48.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked MOUZ NXT | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2589…0770backed MANA eSports | 44c | 47.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked MOUZ NXT | 46c | 45.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 44.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed MANA eSports | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked MOUZ NXT | 55c | 34.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MANA eSports | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…4b6cbacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 30.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked MOUZ NXT | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 68cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…99a4backed MOUZ NXT | 77c | 24.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 23.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 20.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed MOUZ NXT | 62c | 17.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerMANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.