Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4f2503ca61727053e57a871d13b61ec6f9bd76a8511aae8bac09255ad1fdfc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 50c | 11,772$5,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,932.16 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 51c | 6,250$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.59 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 49c | 6,017$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948.48 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 2,960$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.69 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.17 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 50c | 2,610$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.98 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Under | 51c | 2,605$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 53c | 2,028$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 1,123$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.93 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Over | 50c | 961$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.5 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 51c | 650$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Over | 52c | 555$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 503.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.12 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 49c | 356.24$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.68 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 52c | 342.31$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.31 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Under | 25c | 324.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 49c | 225.87$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.87 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 71c | 223.05$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 199.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 50c | 194$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.56 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Over | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 52c | 117.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 95.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Over | 52c | 75.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 49c | 69.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…7f1cbacked Over | 52c | 62.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…09f9backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…4b6cbacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 44.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…3efdbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Over | 52c | 27.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…e7f7backed Over | 53c | 24.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 149.5this page
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Tennessee VolunteersTennessee Volunteers won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 150.5Over won
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-10.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.