Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbb6a9589f46d6d544240d8fffe98aa59d72fccde6afe70183a85d043e01c5b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennessee Volunteersof Tennessee Volunteers, Oklahoma Sooners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Tennessee Volunteers | 48c | 2,458$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.33 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tennessee Volunteers | 48c | 2,424$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.66 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 52c | 1,978$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.86 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 54c | 1,867$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Oklahoma Sooners | 50c | 1,481$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.5 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Tennessee Volunteers | 48c | 1,343$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.28 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oklahoma Sooners | 46c | 998$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.55 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Oklahoma Sooners | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tennessee Volunteers | 59c | 600$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.88 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Oklahoma Sooners | 55c | 542.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Tennessee Volunteers | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…7bb6backed Tennessee Volunteers | 53c | 189.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 52c | 121.39$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Oklahoma Sooners | 48c | 101.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Oklahoma Sooners | 53c | 83.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Tennessee Volunteers | 47c | 80.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 48c | 74.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Oklahoma Sooners | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 49c | 40.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Oklahoma Sooners | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Oklahoma Sooners | 54c | 38.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Tennessee Volunteers | 51c | 36.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Oklahoma Sooners | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Tennessee Volunteers | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Tennessee Volunteers | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Tennessee Volunteers | 59c | 17.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)this page
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Tennessee VolunteersTennessee Volunteers won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 149.5Over won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 150.5Over won
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-10.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.