Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x869b70bfd98afe9b3bc19e78c55851253342cd8717463e0785e2ad6e530a9660
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 53c | 21,084$11,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,174.33 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 48c | 7,335$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,816.22 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over | 48c | 6,296$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,273.83 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 47c | 4,200$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Over | 47c | 4,138$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.47 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 2,828$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 47c | 988.71$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.02 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 47c | 520.17$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.69 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 159.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.65 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 95.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 46c | 70.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 60.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d3…0d2abacked Under | 52c | 38.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 33.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 150.5this page
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Tennessee VolunteersTennessee Volunteers won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-10.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.