Other European Leagues · resolved market
Moreirense FC vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eaa9c7acbb8f2d9feef65969bac79fa7c71e362f8e998b2193ba616db13fdd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 2,050$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.12 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 24c | 1,250$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.37 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 16cpaid | +271.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 61c | 75.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 19c | 68.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 60c | 56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 77c | 50.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 66c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 60c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 60c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 60c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 60c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 60c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 40c | 25.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 60c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 60c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 60c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 18.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 60c | 18.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Moreirense FC vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 1.5this page
- Moreirense FC vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5Under won
- Moreirense FC vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.