Serie A · resolved market
Will Pisa SC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7d00e8a68fa5de7763d13c879d08749fce0ce282bee6624cf136358cc582804
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 10,500$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.85 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 16c | 6,032$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.02 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 3,693$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.13 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Yes | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.05 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 18c | 1,751$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 22c | 729.94$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.09 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 621.64$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.41 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…9d05backed Yes | 17c | 470.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 17c | 353$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 17c | 237.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked Yes | 17c | 225$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b4…08d7backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde43…ec94backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…497dbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…d418backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ae…b7b7backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x618a…6196backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…f860backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1167…dd5dbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…0426backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…2032backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 27c | 198.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 18c | 198$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…a444backed Yes | 10c | 191.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 16c | 184$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 17c | 130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c30…7673backed Yes | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Yes | 35c | 82.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 67.16$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 71c | 45.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pisa SC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-30?Yes won
- Will Pisa SC win on 2025-11-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.