Asian League · resolved market
Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2e7a1441ed6ba8ca8c5d452321486410d3890cead48ac4b831bac6ac8ab53d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 21c | 8,249$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.82 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 78c | 8,175$6,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.46 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 4,736$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.45 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Yes | 75c | 1,630$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.44 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 21c | 917.67$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.85 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa68c…f805backed Yes | 76c | 645.28$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 77c | 384.1$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.34 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed No | 7c | 328.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 19c | 250.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.97 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 54c | 199.83$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.37 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 21c | 162$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.26 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 80c | 161.26$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 19c | 145.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.49 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8407…c4b9backed Yes | 16c | 107$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba1…6aefbacked Yes | 13c | 105$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaba…cf38backed No | 25c | 98.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 92.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 74c | 80.27$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 74c | 73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7c30…7673backed Yes | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 70c | 54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 27c | 40.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 70c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 74c | 26.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Yes | 75c | 26.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ea…c255backed Yes | 78c | 22.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.