Will Ousmane Dembélé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c7e24e0267de212505571760bca0d6f159fe319736e4fdd6014afd5f5f3fb26

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $15,904
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $17,169

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,904 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x17c0…c49bbacked No	23c	3,276$743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$742.74	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	7cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No	14c	2,011$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.6	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb673…329abacked Yes	71c	1,063$754 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.13	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+3.1wins	+0.14per pick	31cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	76c	924.96$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.55	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	76c	740.74$562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.59	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x714f…66d5backed No	22c	672.12$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.74	119	28.6%34 W · 85 L	+6.6wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01a5…0e36backed Yes	78c	652.96$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.16	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-4.8wins	-0.14per pick	61cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x12d4…453bbacked No	18c	561.11$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	78c	503.29$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.51	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac0…55f3backed No	22c	460.4$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.26	43	74.4%32 W · 11 L	+7.3wins	+0.17per pick	57cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5e10…1186backed No	23c	300$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	63	58.7%37 W · 26 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	38c	283$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.95	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed Yes	76c	265$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.6	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	79c	258.4$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.26	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e52…98fbbacked Yes	79c	253.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.16	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed Yes	75c	244.23$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.44	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+4.4wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+93.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x156b…baa0backed Yes	79c	200$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	36cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No	21c	158.49$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.28	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda68…d77fbacked Yes	76c	155$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.2	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-14%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	15c	154.99$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.25	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No	25c	154.49$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.99	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No	31c	149.98$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	120	38.3%46 W · 74 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc049…d4b9backed No	17c	145.83$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ffe…be6fbacked Yes	69c	144.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.93	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	23c	141$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.64	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes	77c	129.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.77	561	51%286 W · 275 L	+15.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc13d…6928backed Yes	80c	123$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes	77c	106.56$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.59	249	54.2%135 W · 114 L	+40.3wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x60d3…4cb9backed Yes	78c	104$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.88	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1233…d58fbacked Yes	77c	100$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x529d…6381backed Yes	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+2.8wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc348…2a83backed Yes	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5503…30a6backed No	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30a6…f018backed Yes	78c	100$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	79c	95$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.64	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	76c	91.85$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.28	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed Yes	75c	83.8$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.95	90	43.3%39 W · 51 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe158…509fbacked Yes	79c	80$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-37%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No	22c	80$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	399	51.6%206 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes	79c	73$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.07	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No	20c	72.6$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.65	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c8f…995cbacked Yes	70c	70$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b8…037fbacked Yes	75c	69.97$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.49	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58bb…a539backed Yes	75c	57.79$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.45	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	24c	55$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed Yes	76c	55$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	82	18.3%15 W · 67 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa38e…5062backed Yes	79c	54.08$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.36	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c89…0057backed Yes	76c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f0e…d3b2backed Yes	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	74c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Yes	70c	41.13$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.34	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	74c	40.08$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.42	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3106…d672backed Yes	77c	40$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc972…dcd9backed Yes	78c	40$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+5.5wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Yes	70c	39.8$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.94	122	53.3%65 W · 57 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30b8…fbf3backed Yes	78c	37.44$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.24	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1726…5f1bbacked Yes	75c	37$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.27	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	77c	35.6$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.23	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x759c…f3c2backed Yes	72c	32.24$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.03	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f87…4d9dbacked Yes	78c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes	75c	27.87$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.97	96	43.8%42 W · 54 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes	75c	26.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.67	82	54.9%45 W · 37 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc165…61a9backed Yes	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-5.8wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-10%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Yes	80c	24.68$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.94	329	59.6%196 W · 133 L	+21.3wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2010…18febacked Yes	77c	24.07$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.54	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43fd…59d3backed Yes	80c	22$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.4	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7a…07a0backed Yes	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b1c4backed Yes	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa59f…d937backed Yes	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ousmane Dembélé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event