Mls · resolved market
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x058824803bc086cc87c2616266405a3485d4df0917dbb69d67ce7ea475e5736d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,479 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 56c | 15,318$8,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,739.83 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 4,883$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.75 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 28c | 3,762$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Yes | 44c | 2,967$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 60c | 2,692$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.69 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 38c | 2,208$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.55 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 29c | 1,863$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.74 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 73c | 1,717$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.58 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,685$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.22 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x838d…3cbdbacked Yes | 39c | 1,359$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…ec75backed Yes | 60c | 1,353$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 52c | 1,300$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.45 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 42c | 1,173$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.51 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 18c | 899.48$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.46 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 44c | 687$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.13 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 638.25$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.79 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 43c | 581.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.09 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 56c | 540.73$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.92 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 520.7$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.87 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 47c | 501.41$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.14 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 35c | 501.2$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.91 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked No | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 496.43$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.05 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked Yes | 3c | 465.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed No | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 58c | 361$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.62 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 53c | 342.24$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.17 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 38c | 279.61$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.62 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 46c | 271.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.86 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 42c | 260.78$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 38c | 242.22$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.05 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 39c | 233.94$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.82 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 59c | 225$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 61c | 209.77$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664f…78f4backed Yes | 39c | 160.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf771…8d65backed No | 62c | 156.32$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 58c | 150$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 32c | 144.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 57c | 137.52$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Yes | 72c | 133$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa605…7e9abacked No | 62c | 127.49$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb97…5bb6backed Yes | 39c | 123.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked No | 59c | 111.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 62c | 96.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 57c | 96.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 56c | 96.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 95.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 46c | 80.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed No | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 61c | 77.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked No | 47c | 76.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 37c | 76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 61c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…8703backed No | 55c | 69.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked No | 40c | 65.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed No | 62c | 64.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 58c | 64.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 54.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 40c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 35c | 51.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked No | 61c | 49.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…3a37backed No | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 56c | 46.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed No | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x311a…bf0fbacked Yes | 69c | 41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 65c | 38.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 30c | 38.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 35.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed No | 59c | 32.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 64c | 32.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 52c | 31.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Yes | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 50c | 28.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…969abacked No | 40c | 28.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked No | 65c | 28.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 42c | 26.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 40c | 26.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 26.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 70c | 24.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 68c | 23.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked No | 56c | 23.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will Toronto FC vs. New York Red Bulls end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.