TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Norwich City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,591

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,591 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac75…1319backed Over54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,799.823036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under46c11,725$5,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,331.61735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over54c11,000$5,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,939.9513444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4003135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Under46c7,878$3,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,253.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c6,435$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,434.86,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over54c4,985$2,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,691.8850644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under46c4,900$2,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6461,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under46c3,968$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.463171%22 W · 9 L+7.7wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+53.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under46c3,500$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8909272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over54c3,051$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.518259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under46c3,043$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.48966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35013662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under46c942.76$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.0975850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under46c845.22$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.427844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under45c726.22$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.441,24042.2%523 W · 717 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2707268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Over54c499.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.991764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c448.84$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.962,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under46c439$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.068144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over54c406$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.1830149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6330…1444backed Under46c400.55$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.3922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-53.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21636956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9030…cf12backed Over56c359.01$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.911533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over55c307.21$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.146344.4%28 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c304.97$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.522,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under45c299.67$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7496443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over11c283.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.151,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Over55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501225%3 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-55.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Over56c272$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.02714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-68.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under44c235.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1651750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under45c225$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7529259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1087550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under44c192.33$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.681,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadd8…8793backed Over54c186$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.44425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7123…59b9backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-46.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under44c180$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.851847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over26c169.2$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.999929.3%29 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x605d…62d8backed Over55c169.2$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ec…2a52backed Under46c167$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.183100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8165557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8135056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8183459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8160557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under45c149.97$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4811866.1%78 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over56c142.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8015772%113 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under46c135.85$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5735157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under45c133.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.333956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under46c130.01$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7681559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under45c126.67$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0410949.5%54 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under46c125$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.537557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under46c122.2$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.410951.4%56 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c117.13$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.534,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed Under45c109.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.481546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over54c109$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.867440.5%30 W · 44 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under46c102.08$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1232345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under46c101.35$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7539052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5446660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5436259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5411850%59 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4259645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544477.3%34 W · 10 L+10.2wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+45.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5456158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over35c97.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342737%10 W · 17 L-5.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under46c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.627354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under46c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.632357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under46c89.85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5236554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf16…25a5backed Under46c87.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.46862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under46c77.22$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.749753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under45c72.47$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.051,63652.9%866 W · 770 L+32.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2216544.2%73 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Over55c64.53$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.513946.2%18 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5624…4659backed Over55c63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Over55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.426958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.426158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.437554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.430554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.425456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.426058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.436758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.429057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.428255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.438358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.428359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe647…c9aabacked Over55c59.09$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.62642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Over56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2525553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2737958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under46c48.65$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2720758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x640a…14fabacked Over55c48.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under46c46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8417138.6%66 W · 105 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b81…68bebacked Over55c43.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0158…75a5backed Under46c43.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.223941%16 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2211842.4%50 W · 68 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.222040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.222638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156036.7%22 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4180…fa2abacked Over55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.