TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Roberto Carballes Baenaof Raul Brancaccio, Roberto Carballes Baena
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,795

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,079 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Raul Brancaccio37c21,171$7,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,869.538,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…e403backed Roberto Carballes Baena57c21,036$12,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,957.3811554.8%63 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Roberto Carballes Baena71c5,084$3,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Raul Brancaccio10c2,000$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.89,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Raul Brancaccio29c1,953$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.964,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Raul Brancaccio34c1,772$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.41,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Raul Brancaccio34c1,740$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.7252152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Roberto Carballes Baena66c1,506$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.973,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raul Brancaccio27c1,318$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.178,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Raul Brancaccio20c1,100$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22087337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Raul Brancaccio37c1,094$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40070041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Raul Brancaccio17c945.16$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16057321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Roberto Carballes Baena67c803.98$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.9224634.1%84 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Raul Brancaccio17c757.91$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.082,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca4…db18backed Roberto Carballes Baena64c682.2$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.593253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Roberto Carballes Baena63c556.86$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.6638652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Raul Brancaccio27c505.22$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.391,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed Raul Brancaccio41c493.86$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20119761.4%121 W · 76 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Roberto Carballes Baena69c408$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.481,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Raul Brancaccio12c385.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8475312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Roberto Carballes Baena65c351.97$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9782560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Roberto Carballes Baena62c340$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.249658.1%288 W · 208 L+32.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Roberto Carballes Baena72c325.74$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.86,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Roberto Carballes Baena68c294.12$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.591,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc314…6a46backed Raul Brancaccio10c282.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6418410.9%20 W · 164 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Raul Brancaccio32c264.68$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.092,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Raul Brancaccio16c210.39$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.981,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf8…75e4backed Raul Brancaccio34c208.82$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7119343.5%84 W · 109 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Raul Brancaccio28c192.6$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.385742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Roberto Carballes Baena72c163.85$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.882,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Roberto Carballes Baena71c160$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Raul Brancaccio33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked Raul Brancaccio25c147.6$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.052832.1%9 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Raul Brancaccio8c140$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Raul Brancaccio27c138.36$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.364,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Raul Brancaccio24c137.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5930625.8%79 W · 227 L-28.6wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Roberto Carballes Baena70c137.04$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.072,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Roberto Carballes Baena77c102.69$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.343,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Raul Brancaccio24c101$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.242,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Raul Brancaccio10c100.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012326.8%33 W · 90 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Raul Brancaccio10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021533.5%72 W · 143 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Raul Brancaccio16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1626345.6%120 W · 143 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Raul Brancaccio15c99.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9769438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Roberto Carballes Baena56c99.61$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.611,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f7d…b3ffbacked Roberto Carballes Baena58c96.49$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.532560%15 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Raul Brancaccio17c91.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1834729.4%102 W · 245 L-35.6wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Roberto Carballes Baena78c90$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.859253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Roberto Carballes Baena66c89$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2699249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Raul Brancaccio21c87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.271,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a9…5207backed Roberto Carballes Baena56c84.54$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Raul Brancaccio33c81.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.889859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Raul Brancaccio21c75.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0560141.1%247 W · 354 L-11.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Raul Brancaccio42c71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8270456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Raul Brancaccio36c67.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Raul Brancaccio26c63.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Raul Brancaccio38c60.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.453,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Raul Brancaccio27c55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6962727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf831…dfa6backed Raul Brancaccio28c54.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Raul Brancaccio29c53.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.623,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Raul Brancaccio43c53.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1495050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Roberto Carballes Baena73c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.71,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Roberto Carballes Baena70c45.83$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.751,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7366…d1aabacked Roberto Carballes Baena70c45.43$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.433467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Raul Brancaccio32c45.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.318,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x610b…36a3backed Raul Brancaccio46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054744.4%243 W · 304 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Roberto Carballes Baena65c39.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1993945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Raul Brancaccio33c37.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2851644.8%231 W · 285 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Roberto Carballes Baena57c32.22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7749749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x787d…aecdbacked Roberto Carballes Baena70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.938860.6%235 W · 153 L-11.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10dd…4831backed Roberto Carballes Baena67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8511858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa099…b1d4backed Roberto Carballes Baena67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Roberto Carballes Baena74c28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.491755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Roberto Carballes Baena67c25.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4796945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Raul Brancaccio44c25.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0435649.4%176 W · 180 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…5275backed Roberto Carballes Baena80c25.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536378.2%284 W · 79 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick77cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Roberto Carballes Baena66c24.94$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.483,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec8…4bedbacked Roberto Carballes Baena73c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8412149.6%60 W · 61 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbafb…3031backed Roberto Carballes Baena77c20.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5733673.2%246 W · 90 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick78cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed Roberto Carballes Baena74c20.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2216654.8%91 W · 75 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Roberto Carballes Baena80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456153.7%301 W · 260 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ce…41acbacked Roberto Carballes Baena67c19.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.513366.2%88 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e20…5cf9backed Roberto Carballes Baena72c19.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4335555.5%197 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x541d…61cfbacked Roberto Carballes Baena67c17.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.766261.3%38 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1caa…1d87backed Roberto Carballes Baena71c16.68$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.845180.4%41 W · 10 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Roberto Carballes Baena69c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9692046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.