Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa73092daf901c3143a040250fd9412ce928ba5939529e27e98b9c399d81ac80d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,501 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 23c | 2,883$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.15 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 69c | 2,311$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.38 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 19c | 1,493$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.06 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 80c | 1,353$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 80c | 1,256$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.51 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 20c | 1,247$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.31 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 80c | 1,089$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 78c | 1,016$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.95 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 22c | 1,002$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.45 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 20c | 964.53$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.91 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 80c | 697$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 31c | 619.01$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.51 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 20c | 565.83$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Yes | 67c | 499.97$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 32c | 308$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.47 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 67c | 296.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 31c | 288.96$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.81 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…0762backed Yes | 67c | 280$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 23c | 258$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 22c | 219.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 26c | 211.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 19c | 173.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 72c | 167$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Yes | 71c | 158.75$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Yes | 78c | 149.81$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…7553backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 31c | 130.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Yes | 77c | 128.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 23c | 120.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 20c | 113.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 76c | 110$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 80c | 103.09$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 68c | 103$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed Yes | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 18c | 83.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc01…f1dfbacked No | 21c | 78.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 71.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 18c | 68.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 73c | 62.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 77c | 61.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked No | 20c | 56.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383e…d998backed Yes | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab08…37fabacked Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked No | 29c | 37.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 69c | 36.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…9848backed Yes | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…e294backed Yes | 80c | 31.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…c418backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 77c | 26.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 80c | 25.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 71c | 15.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…997fbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.