TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,051
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,051 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x70dc…1dfdbacked No55c1,765$972 inLost-$972.461957.9%11 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e1…d10dbacked Yes53c944.89$500 inWon+$444.891573.3%11 W · 4 L+5.1wins+0.34per pick39cpaid+102%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No48c694.12$333 inLost-$332.5933049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ee…a524backed Yes52c626.92$326 inWon+$300.922070%14 W · 6 L+5.4wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+56.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdefe…f93dbacked Yes51c476.8$244 inWon+$233.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed No50c300$150 inLost-$15078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Yes52c213.46$111 inWon+$102.463053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a9…e573backed Yes44c200$88 inWon+$11212347.2%58 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x872b…a9c3backed Yes52c190.38$99 inWon+$91.381241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9717…bd55backed Yes53c185.3$98 inWon+$87.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No24c171.86$41 inLost-$41.318140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No45c101.27$45 inLost-$45.459853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No18c93.64$17 inLost-$16.5630842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed No48c79.77$38 inLost-$37.912147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Yes70c79$55 inWon+$23.720558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4ad…1014backed Yes51c72.67$37 inWon+$35.671323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-53%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb83b…dc66backed Yes53c67.92$36 inWon+$31.923638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked No47c64.49$30 inLost-$30.014736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes50c55.51$28 inWon+$27.5127539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No48c55.18$26 inLost-$26.4253842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No25c41.05$10 inLost-$10.321,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4480…8c0ebacked Yes52c38.75$20 inWon+$18.7510351.5%53 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb23d…8ba5backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon+$18.461936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4305…d88bbacked No55c32.84$18 inLost-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes46c30$14 inWon+$16.218445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No50c30$15 inLost-$1533556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No50c30$15 inLost-$14.8526957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes52c29.12$15 inWon+$13.9884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No52c26$14 inLost-$13.5110757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93c9…3676backed No48c24.52$12 inLost-$11.771172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+49%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed Yes49c24.49$12 inWon+$12.4914953%79 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed No42c23.81$10 inLost-$105129.4%15 W · 36 L-7.8wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.