Tennis · resolved market
Targu Mures: Miguel Tobon vs Martin Krumich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d085fb8e9dd9d38602b0b09fa56fd4d79574dd4c740eb62ad4b839b067630b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martin Krumichof Miguel Tobon, Martin Krumich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miguel Tobon | 11c | 3,105$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.32 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Miguel Tobon | 10c | 2,018$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.48 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Miguel Tobon | 18c | 2,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Miguel Tobon | 5c | 1,911$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…8bfdbacked Miguel Tobon | 36c | 1,045$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.04 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Miguel Tobon | 44c | 721.97$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.78 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Miguel Tobon | 36c | 599.96$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Miguel Tobon | 34c | 554.19$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Miguel Tobon | 20c | 474.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Miguel Tobon | 32c | 407.33$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.43 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Martin Krumich | 53c | 406.16$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.9 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Miguel Tobon | 34c | 352.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.84 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Martin Krumich | 57c | 346.46$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.83 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Martin Krumich | 66c | 344$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.4 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Martin Krumich | 77c | 338.28$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Miguel Tobon | 30c | 334.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 464 | 35.3%164 W · 300 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…a95bbacked Martin Krumich | 59c | 332.2$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.2 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Martin Krumich | 64c | 308$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Martin Krumich | 74c | 304.64$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.64 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Miguel Tobon | 24c | 297.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Miguel Tobon | 17c | 293.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Miguel Tobon | 20c | 264.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Martin Krumich | 68c | 261.52$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Martin Krumich | 77c | 257.97$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Miguel Tobon | 17c | 256.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Miguel Tobon | 8c | 236.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 280 | 48.9%137 W · 143 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…1e80backed Miguel Tobon | 49c | 230.16$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.78 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Martin Krumich | 71c | 218.04$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Miguel Tobon | 30c | 215.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Martin Krumich | 80c | 214.32$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Miguel Tobon | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Miguel Tobon | 40c | 199.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Martin Krumich | 64c | 193.4$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Miguel Tobon | 35c | 191.19$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a11…84cbbacked Miguel Tobon | 55c | 182.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Miguel Tobon | 23c | 172$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Miguel Tobon | 33c | 158$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Miguel Tobon | 35c | 149.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Martin Krumich | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…9c4ebacked Martin Krumich | 61c | 128.74$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miguel Tobon | 13c | 127.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Martin Krumich | 70c | 125.95$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Miguel Tobon | 40c | 116.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Miguel Tobon | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Miguel Tobon | 18c | 107$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Miguel Tobon | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miguel Tobon | 30c | 99.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Miguel Tobon | 40c | 98.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 318 | 42.5%135 W · 183 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Miguel Tobon | 18c | 97.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Miguel Tobon | 38c | 96.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Martin Krumich | 74c | 92.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Miguel Tobon | 24c | 86.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Miguel Tobon | 33c | 81.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Miguel Tobon | 40c | 65.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 319 | 48.9%156 W · 163 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Martin Krumich | 77c | 61.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Miguel Tobon | 23c | 61.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Miguel Tobon | 30c | 56.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Martin Krumich | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59e9…5779backed Miguel Tobon | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Martin Krumich | 69c | 43.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Miguel Tobon | 44c | 41.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Miguel Tobon | 38c | 41.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Martin Krumich | 51c | 38.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Miguel Tobon | 43c | 37.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Martin Krumich | 80c | 37.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 232 | 72.8%169 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f12…95c3backed Miguel Tobon | 60c | 35.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -5.8wins | -0.28per pick | 66cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Miguel Tobon | 36c | 33.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Martin Krumich | 65c | 32.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Miguel Tobon | 35c | 29.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150b…7e58backed Miguel Tobon | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Miguel Tobon | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Miguel Tobon | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Martin Krumich | 49c | 20.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Martin Krumich | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Martin Krumich | 67c | 15.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…c696backed Martin Krumich | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 180 | 72.8%131 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.