Ukraine · resolved market
Ukraine lowers conscription age before May 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e7a49b1879cbbe71acddda37f20a510dc130a77d35872abf61200d5626b1987
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf04…d45bbacked Yes | 11c | 7,228$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.67 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 6,779$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a15…0246backed Yes | 20c | 5,852$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.89 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…dd1ebacked Yes | 27c | 5,619$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.27 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f2…7336backed Yes | 13c | 3,987$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…d6c9backed Yes | 4c | 2,790$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68da…ee52backed Yes | 2c | 2,737$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 8c | 2,142$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.9 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,069$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.47 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…e6dbbacked Yes | 11c | 1,895$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…a0d0backed Yes | 1c | 1,561$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3263…64c5backed Yes | 1c | 1,555$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 76c | 1,496$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.75 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…f2ecbacked Yes | 1c | 1,475$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed Yes | 19c | 1,387$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.93 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…45bebacked Yes | 1c | 1,381$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3409…aa94backed Yes | 1c | 1,375$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ff…040bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,239$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 2c | 1,164$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f8…f83fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,148$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5d…e3a7backed No | 78c | 1,107$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf622…8749backed Yes | 2c | 962.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ea…f99fbacked No | 76c | 961.4$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…bff1backed Yes | 2c | 926.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 13c | 922.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Yes | 22c | 904.55$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7a7dbacked Yes | 24c | 895.35$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed Yes | 10c | 895.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…d0c3backed No | 69c | 890.82$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.06 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba16…4cacbacked Yes | 1c | 867.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 74c | 866$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.22 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…5092backed No | 71c | 851.1$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1993…2262backed Yes | 1c | 831.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed No | 78c | 717.72$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.52 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x925a…4961backed Yes | 2c | 643.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 639.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…f801backed Yes | 21c | 637.79$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98e…e2ccbacked Yes | 2c | 572.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 36c | 558.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e2…0638backed Yes | 2c | 534.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 3c | 510.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4360…1635backed Yes | 2c | 498.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…cf2abacked No | 80c | 440$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 74c | 369.98$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ea…0140backed Yes | 22c | 369.24$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.01 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 5c | 367.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 64c | 362.78$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.6 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…77e1backed Yes | 18c | 352.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 71c | 350$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 343.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 4c | 320$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 7c | 305.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2384…3e0bbacked Yes | 5c | 299.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x996f…3748backed Yes | 34c | 293.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…7cbcbacked Yes | 4c | 284.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…a431backed Yes | 14c | 276.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…e98fbacked Yes | 18c | 275.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…f885backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…7ab2backed Yes | 7c | 250$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 10c | 243.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 171 | 22.2%38 W · 133 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…a0f6backed No | 73c | 242.96$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…f95dbacked Yes | 8c | 242.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004d…b850backed No | 77c | 240.72$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…56efbacked Yes | 4c | 240.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…53d7backed No | 74c | 237.86$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c5…94f3backed No | 74c | 214.78$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…b2d3backed No | 72c | 210.86$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 23c | 210$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…18acbacked Yes | 17c | 200.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b5…e2ffbacked Yes | 9c | 197.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c1…b8f1backed No | 76c | 196.77$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 14c | 186.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 16c | 180.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…f59cbacked No | 76c | 176$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…e78bbacked No | 76c | 167.39$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4391…61d8backed Yes | 10c | 151.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…de08backed No | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed83…d308backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 21c | 136.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…0943backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 13c | 116.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5982…dfbebacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…fb5dbacked Yes | 24c | 111.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…f9dbbacked No | 77c | 103.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…8b4fbacked Yes | 27c | 100.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…a83fbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…e8b4backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d0…57c5backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50c0…e601backed Yes | 15c | 99.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed No | 77c | 90.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 76c | 82.86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…86b5backed Yes | 25c | 77.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 75c | 76.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 77c | 74.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 18c | 73.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56b5…0939backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.