Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Lee (-1.5) vs Podrez (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a1b697de58f1857a9b09abf4279ea1498586383b814837bca94069047fc7644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Podrezof Lee, Podrez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Podrez | 62c | 990.93$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.7 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lee | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Podrez | 34c | 309.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.79 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Lee | 37c | 298.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Lee | 56c | 280.76$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.3 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Podrez | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Podrez | 64c | 156.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lee | 38c | 111.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Podrez | 52c | 109.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Lee | 64c | 107.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Podrez | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…fa0bbacked Lee | 53c | 94.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Podrez | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Lee | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Podrez | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Lee | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Podrez | 61c | 32.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Lee | 56c | 31.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Lee (-1.5) vs Podrez (+1.5)this page
- Livesport Prague Open: Veronika Podrez vs Carol Young Suh LeeCarol Young Suh Lee won
- Set 1 Winner: Podrez vs LeeLee won
- Set 2 Winner: Podrez vs LeePodrez won
- Veronika Podrez vs. Carol Young Suh Lee: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.