Earnings · resolved market
Will Lowe's Companies (LOW) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b65b409d2030996de38861f6d1b45cc7f96b4148125630ad95a3369f8475b71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64e3…aefabacked No | 27c | 774.16$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe056…8120backed No | 13c | 549.69$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.76 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 55c | 501.4$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked No | 57c | 465$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.68 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…04d8backed Yes | 3c | 345.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…af58backed No | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519a…1551backed No | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb1…326cbacked Yes | 69c | 322.58$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 20c | 311.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf462…3a4dbacked No | 13c | 299.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 48c | 286.56$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.05 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa31…5cc1backed No | 15c | 256.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.65 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e98…a8e6backed No | 20c | 250.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 31c | 230.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.4 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed No | 10c | 225$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 9c | 222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 9c | 222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 13c | 199.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.97 | 676 | 42.9%290 W · 386 L | -36.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 78c | 169.33$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 768 | 37.4%287 W · 481 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf93…a876backed No | 14c | 140.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd88b…c56bbacked Yes | 75c | 132.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 74cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…d477backed No | 40c | 126.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.51 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa0…9b11backed No | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92af…dbe0backed No | 17c | 119.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed No | 15c | 109.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 34c | 109.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 57c | 106.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…6167backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…7019backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 68c | 68.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 22c | 61.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 18c | 59.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 582 | 39%227 W · 355 L | -25.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…69c9backed Yes | 77c | 58.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7765…bf48backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed No | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…ad47backed No | 23c | 44.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…9834backed Yes | 75c | 40.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 62c | 17.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.