TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
100 Thievesof G2 Esports, 100 Thieves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,392
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,392 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked G2 Esports54c16,298$8,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,772.114542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed 100 Thieves46c14,855$6,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,021.754751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked G2 Esports55c2,560$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.2268458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed G2 Esports15c2,052$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.814938.3%57 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked 100 Thieves48c1,331$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.121369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+47.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves44c1,130$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.7893148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed 100 Thieves47c1,087$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.2656357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed G2 Esports57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57053159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd794…248bbacked 100 Thieves70c996.43$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.331770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves62c951.11$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.511,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed G2 Esports55c904$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.1663955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac43…dcc3backed 100 Thieves63c843.08$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.08955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x616b…f926backed 100 Thieves36c814.06$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5213345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed G2 Esports51c604.81$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31014941.6%62 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked G2 Esports54c588.72$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.4194361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a96…7a34backed G2 Esports47c572.4$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.813447.1%16 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+57.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed 100 Thieves52c556.98$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.3526051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed G2 Esports58c555$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.933942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked 100 Thieves48c552.4$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.255062%31 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked 100 Thieves53c549$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.0310341.7%43 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec7f…ab9ebacked 100 Thieves45c524.75$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2892556%14 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked G2 Esports48c520.49$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8455152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked G2 Esports55c514.85$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.5465559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed G2 Esports14c463$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0681134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked G2 Esports67c450.86$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012856.3%72 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03d8…e73cbacked 100 Thieves52c420.1$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.653050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc8…d0dbbacked G2 Esports58c404$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.321650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed 100 Thieves48c400$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.2918049.4%89 W · 91 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed 100 Thieves54c394$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.7766438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed G2 Esports53c386.89$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.971,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked G2 Esports48c360.96$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.267044.3%31 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed G2 Esports54c334.54$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked 100 Thieves53c331.08$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.81,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked G2 Esports57c322.98$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.178562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked G2 Esports25c315.79$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9957151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked G2 Esports21c311.22$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.877744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked 100 Thieves49c308.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.311560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed G2 Esports35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked 100 Thieves44c294.9$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.141,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x389c…7780backed G2 Esports56c294.9$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked G2 Esports48c292.7$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.671963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked 100 Thieves68c290.2$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.787047.1%33 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1311…b275backed 100 Thieves44c271.93$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.931921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-44.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked G2 Esports14c266.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1470043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked G2 Esports13c255$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.320138.3%77 W · 124 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed G2 Esports46c254.39$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2340945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb7…a3cdbacked 100 Thieves75c238.17$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.543863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed G2 Esports19c228$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1674642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 100 Thieves47c214.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.1525336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed G2 Esports59c191.28$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8563447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed 100 Thieves53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6821454.2%116 W · 98 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed 100 Thieves45c188.64$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1546347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x227a…de71backed 100 Thieves52c185.71$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.141957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked 100 Thieves75c179.8$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.351952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked G2 Esports58c178.72$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2124551%125 W · 120 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed 100 Thieves40c176.48$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2741835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed G2 Esports18c171.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1644342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed 100 Thieves41c168.29$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0ce…7ecbbacked 100 Thieves41c160.4$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed G2 Esports59c152.53$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.997530.7%23 W · 52 L-9.0wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd11…67b1backed 100 Thieves60c146.85$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.854546.7%21 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked 100 Thieves62c138.89$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7517642.6%75 W · 101 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x483d…a099backed 100 Thieves46c136.66$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.83348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b9…ad06backed 100 Thieves53c135.76$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.647254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Esports12c134.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.571,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed 100 Thieves55c110.72$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7565347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0c…da03backed 100 Thieves52c107.75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7211738.5%45 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed 100 Thieves48c104$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.089942.4%42 W · 57 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked G2 Esports58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5811450%57 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed 100 Thieves49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5115358.8%90 W · 63 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed 100 Thieves43c99.31$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6123836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50a0…18ffbacked G2 Esports55c96$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.81631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0621…dd5dbacked 100 Thieves54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3596…d91cbacked 100 Thieves69c76.53$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.487768.8%53 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked 100 Thieves53c75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.061,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked 100 Thieves43c75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1352050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked 100 Thieves43c75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1355348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 100 Thieves43c75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1379650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf0…2b6dbacked 100 Thieves54c67.95$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.281369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+41.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked 100 Thieves53c65.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5322352.9%118 W · 105 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked G2 Esports20c65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.733947.8%162 W · 177 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed 100 Thieves40c63.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7526447.3%125 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed G2 Esports60c58.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.923745.1%107 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed G2 Esports57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed G2 Esports65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.51533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked 100 Thieves33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.538548.6%187 W · 198 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed 100 Thieves47c49.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.434356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed 100 Thieves57c48.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0693049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed 100 Thieves48c42.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0811445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed 100 Thieves48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.676149.2%30 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed 100 Thieves49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8220547.8%98 W · 107 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked 100 Thieves60c38.85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6838950.6%197 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f56…50edbacked 100 Thieves44c30.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.991855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked G2 Esports53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158968.5%61 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde55…1d2abacked G2 Esports60c24.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.985466.7%36 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed 100 Thieves50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1043843.6%191 W · 247 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc07e…9fc3backed 100 Thieves50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.