Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x992ba53ed4ef9903665d96ca810892a2a86da28b5a9a2cc983a18d4136a4d0f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 71c | 1,841$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.48 | 1,490 | 54.6%813 W · 677 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 29c | 1,446$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.8 | 445 | 38.2%170 W · 275 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 78c | 1,071$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.3 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 71c | 938.59$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.6 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…cc93backed Over | 29c | 884.5$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.51 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 48cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 22c | 876.22$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.78 | 1,133 | 31.1%352 W · 781 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 71c | 442.85$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.43 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 29c | 435.48$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.9 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 21c | 374.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Over | 33c | 170.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 70c | 163.35$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 1,168 | 66.1%772 W · 396 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 24c | 126.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 28c | 126.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 396 | 51%202 W · 194 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Over | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce41…c2c2backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 13c | 99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under | 67c | 98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Over | 29c | 96.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Over | 75c | 84.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 371 | 61.7%229 W · 142 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 1,459 | 43.3%632 W · 827 L | -33.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Over | 29c | 61.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 79c | 53.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 221 | 65.6%145 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 29c | 37.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 31c | 35.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 67c | 33.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 35c | 32.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1,251 | 54.1%677 W · 574 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked Under | 75c | 28.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…36c0backed Under | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 478 | 54%258 W · 220 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5afc…6b2abacked Under | 71c | 18.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 72c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 72c | 14.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 356 | 39.3%140 W · 216 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?G2 Esports won
- First Blood in Game 2?SK Gaming won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonG2 Esports won
- LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.