Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c57f56ee5f516b8f178aeb9fdf73202efe8002eccba632d54536e7f5d8e05ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 24c | 1,563$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.76 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 75c | 1,392$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.9 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 53c | 1,333$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.31 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Over | 47c | 752$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.56 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 58c | 715.37$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.31 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under | 41c | 610.38$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.21 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 509.78$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.67 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 469.5$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.83 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 47c | 402.13$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.13 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Under | 10c | 237.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked Over | 52c | 201.89$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 40c | 199.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 46c | 173.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…a1b7backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…d2babacked Over | 62c | 156.82$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Under | 68c | 128.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 558 | 44.6%249 W · 309 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 58c | 123.69$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 42c | 103.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 51c | 103.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 302 | 46%139 W · 163 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Under | 38c | 103.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Under | 31c | 97.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 31c | 91.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 42c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…26abbacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 538 | 29.9%161 W · 377 L | -19.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…c297backed Under | 27c | 54.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…6b8fbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2da…fdd7backed Under | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 64c | 52.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 72c | 45.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 54c | 43.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…301dbacked Over | 47c | 41.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 60c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Over | 64c | 37.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Over | 47c | 37.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Over | 60c | 37.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Over | 70c | 35.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…06f9backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 64c | 31.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Under | 54c | 25.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Under | 56c | 25.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…59debacked Under | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupDplus KIA won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.