TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, Execration
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,291
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$170,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,291 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4aec…4ce9backed Yellow Submarine80c19,074$15,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,906.8830667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Execration37c17,122$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4001,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Execration18c14,547$2,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,63169132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed Yellow Submarine55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.9330452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Execration44c7,756$3,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,410.61,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Yellow Submarine56c5,841$3,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,569.8495342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Yellow Submarine55c4,005$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.2953451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782f…b46abacked Yellow Submarine56c3,642$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.95750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Execration18c3,542$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.7279341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Execration36c2,755$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.9230357.1%173 W · 130 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Execration31c2,608$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.4689238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a01…c89ebacked Execration10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Yellow Submarine52c1,864$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.8279859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfbe…dc24backed Execration45c1,711$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.957350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e5…519dbacked Yellow Submarine80c1,247$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.7512764.6%82 W · 45 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf52…efdfbacked Yellow Submarine67c1,033$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.6621558.6%126 W · 89 L+11.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Execration43c1,005$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.7889938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Yellow Submarine56c950$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41543738.4%168 W · 269 L-1.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93b6…5d73backed Yellow Submarine74c936.58$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.6613336.8%49 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81c3…d67dbacked Yellow Submarine41c900$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.277045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab7d…d04bbacked Execration36c775.01$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.845949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa425…52fabacked Yellow Submarine58c774.52$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.52944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Yellow Submarine56c718.98$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.351,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe05…8b13backed Yellow Submarine39c703.46$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.915939%23 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Execration27c666.99$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.481,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yellow Submarine38c647.63$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.6391553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed Execration53c646$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.745747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…1c02backed Yellow Submarine71c564.14$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.471060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec5…465abacked Execration39c520.11$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.953745.9%17 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked Execration28c516.42$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2123561.7%145 W · 90 L+19.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Execration26c374.4$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.627636.2%100 W · 176 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Execration47c373.08$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7823435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked Execration38c351.98$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7566848.5%324 W · 344 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Execration34c335.85$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8141632.7%136 W · 280 L-37.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x631a…a80fbacked Execration57c316.69$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18020542.9%88 W · 117 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Execration45c292$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.447748.6%232 W · 245 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2172…5cdabacked Yellow Submarine76c263.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.362454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine58c256.42$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.472,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b26…21e0backed Yellow Submarine76c248.3$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7513464.9%87 W · 47 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee45…200abacked Yellow Submarine52c231.09$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0918046.1%83 W · 97 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Execration36c227.53$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8153538.5%206 W · 329 L-26.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Execration54c212.95$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2313258.3%77 W · 55 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72c8…a74cbacked Yellow Submarine50c200$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10124942.6%106 W · 143 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x249e…4fa6backed Execration45c196$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.217249.4%85 W · 87 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Execration49c195.92$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8328650%143 W · 143 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3550…54e2backed Execration36c186.38$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-49.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Yellow Submarine64c181.59$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.771,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6a…5957backed Execration56c180.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005046%23 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Yellow Submarine57c174.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5915648.7%76 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Execration19c168.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3219547.7%93 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Execration58c166.07$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1837745.9%173 W · 204 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cb5…819abacked Execration25c163.56$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.427745.5%35 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef57…827dbacked Execration42c149.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.991723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-61.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed Execration20c145.66$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.994746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed Execration20c145$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295242.3%22 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Execration21c141.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2468345.8%313 W · 370 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e24…7014backed Yellow Submarine61c136$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0410453.8%56 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdccd…f41abacked Yellow Submarine51c113$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8512252.5%64 W · 58 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+19.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Yellow Submarine57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4387645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Yellow Submarine57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4365863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked Execration35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356250%31 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+7.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Yellow Submarine57c99.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4359254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed Execration43c93.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4037253%197 W · 175 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Yellow Submarine58c88.57$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2981345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Execration45c87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3358943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Execration38c85.22$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3215945.9%73 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Execration45c85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8856945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Yellow Submarine51c71.53$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9825266.3%167 W · 85 L+20.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Yellow Submarine56c71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2491356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fdb…7857backed Yellow Submarine71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Execration43c68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1758746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Execration45c67.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.391,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Yellow Submarine70c61.45$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4538167.2%256 W · 125 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Execration46c57.88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6327459.5%163 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07df…9f0cbacked Execration38c52.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.126259.7%37 W · 25 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe598…e597backed Execration39c52.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.127358.9%43 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Yellow Submarine58c46.21$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.411283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+57.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1200…2f40backed Yellow Submarine64c44.16$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.814045%18 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb695…f967backed Execration46c43.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2114243%61 W · 81 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc22a…a35cbacked Execration44c43.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1413540.7%55 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58d3…5651backed Execration46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202650%13 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x260a…eb0fbacked Execration38c42.68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.115368%104 W · 49 L+17.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Execration39c42.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.64858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Execration43c41.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.144049.3%217 W · 223 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Execration44c40.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.834041.2%140 W · 200 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04ed…172abacked Yellow Submarine52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.432252.5%169 W · 153 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Execration44c39.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2147358.6%277 W · 196 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b3f…6816backed Yellow Submarine62c37.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.241942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa7…1323backed Yellow Submarine56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.716071.7%43 W · 17 L+6.9wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Execration32c34.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8766545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed Yellow Submarine58c33.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.24755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc42…b12cbacked Yellow Submarine40c30.73$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.441181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+39.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xca5f…41f5backed Execration43c29.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.889351.6%48 W · 45 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a8…e8c5backed Yellow Submarine56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.795860.3%35 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Execration38c26.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019449%95 W · 99 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11d2…510abacked Execration42c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9616653.6%89 W · 77 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yellow Submarine62c25.55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6165647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb6…052dbacked Yellow Submarine64c21.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.511450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc2…f593backed Yellow Submarine74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.271338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick61cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b39…8593backed Yellow Submarine59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.25360.4%32 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.