Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14a34665c71057ef3e460e6d4d2e1b8d658d9591306a187c86a7ec2e1cec5e10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, Execration
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Yellow Submarine | 80c | 19,074$15,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,906.88 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Execration | 37c | 17,122$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Execration | 18c | 14,547$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Yellow Submarine | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.93 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Execration | 44c | 7,756$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410.6 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Yellow Submarine | 56c | 5,841$3,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.84 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Yellow Submarine | 55c | 4,005$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.29 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked Yellow Submarine | 56c | 3,642$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.9 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Execration | 18c | 3,542$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.72 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Execration | 36c | 2,755$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.92 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Execration | 31c | 2,608$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.46 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Execration | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 1,864$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.82 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Execration | 45c | 1,711$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.95 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Yellow Submarine | 80c | 1,247$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 1,033$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.66 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Execration | 43c | 1,005$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.78 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Yellow Submarine | 56c | 950$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Yellow Submarine | 74c | 936.58$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.66 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked Yellow Submarine | 41c | 900$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.27 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…d04bbacked Execration | 36c | 775.01$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.84 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…52fabacked Yellow Submarine | 58c | 774.52$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yellow Submarine | 56c | 718.98$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.35 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…8b13backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 703.46$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.91 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Execration | 27c | 666.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.48 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 647.63$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.63 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Execration | 53c | 646$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.74 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…1c02backed Yellow Submarine | 71c | 564.14$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…465abacked Execration | 39c | 520.11$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.95 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Execration | 28c | 516.42$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.21 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Execration | 26c | 374.4$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Execration | 47c | 373.08$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.78 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Execration | 38c | 351.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.75 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Execration | 34c | 335.85$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.81 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Execration | 57c | 316.69$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Execration | 45c | 292$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2172…5cdabacked Yellow Submarine | 76c | 263.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 256.42$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.47 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…21e0backed Yellow Submarine | 76c | 248.3$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…200abacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 231.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.09 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Execration | 36c | 227.53$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Execration | 54c | 212.95$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.23 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Yellow Submarine | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Execration | 45c | 196$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Execration | 49c | 195.92$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.83 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…54e2backed Execration | 36c | 186.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yellow Submarine | 64c | 181.59$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6a…5957backed Execration | 56c | 180.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Yellow Submarine | 57c | 174.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Execration | 19c | 168.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Execration | 58c | 166.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked Execration | 25c | 163.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked Execration | 42c | 149.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Execration | 20c | 145.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Execration | 20c | 145$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Execration | 21c | 141.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Yellow Submarine | 61c | 136$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Yellow Submarine | 51c | 113$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yellow Submarine | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Yellow Submarine | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Execration | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Yellow Submarine | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Execration | 43c | 93.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 88.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Execration | 45c | 87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Execration | 38c | 85.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Execration | 45c | 85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Yellow Submarine | 51c | 71.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Yellow Submarine | 56c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdb…7857backed Yellow Submarine | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Execration | 43c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Execration | 45c | 67.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Yellow Submarine | 70c | 61.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Execration | 46c | 57.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…9f0cbacked Execration | 38c | 52.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…e597backed Execration | 39c | 52.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Yellow Submarine | 58c | 46.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…2f40backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 44.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…f967backed Execration | 46c | 43.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Execration | 44c | 43.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…5651backed Execration | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked Execration | 38c | 42.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Execration | 39c | 42.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Execration | 43c | 41.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Execration | 44c | 40.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Execration | 44c | 39.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…6816backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 37.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…1323backed Yellow Submarine | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Execration | 32c | 34.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 33.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked Yellow Submarine | 40c | 30.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Execration | 43c | 29.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…e8c5backed Yellow Submarine | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Execration | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d2…510abacked Execration | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 25.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb6…052dbacked Yellow Submarine | 64c | 21.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…f593backed Yellow Submarine | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b39…8593backed Yellow Submarine | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Group AYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.