TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, Execration
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,400
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,525

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,400 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x79ae…9a4abacked Execration46c6,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.9723435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Execration33c2,916$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9649954.5%54 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yellow Submarine54c2,843$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.592142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Execration43c1,782$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.8438142%160 W · 221 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaecb…614abacked Yellow Submarine68c1,450$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Execration27c1,099$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.671,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Yellow Submarine79c988.42$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.643860.5%265 W · 173 L+44.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Yellow Submarine59c852.34$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.3416055.6%89 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab4a…823abacked Yellow Submarine60c830$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3322462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Yellow Submarine54c787.37$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.4261449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52e5…60babacked Yellow Submarine58c685.98$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.988959.6%53 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Yellow Submarine55c681.09$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.8412646%58 W · 68 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b51…cf1ebacked Yellow Submarine55c598.53$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.34475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+73.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed Execration45c555.98$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.1914557.9%84 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Execration27c545.88$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8716539.4%65 W · 100 L-0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b75…fa0ebacked Yellow Submarine54c517.8$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.373946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Yellow Submarine54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2309440.4%38 W · 56 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc28c…76e4backed Execration22c456.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Execration44c453.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7618437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2776…4ecbbacked Execration46c434$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.647262.5%45 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0caa…c16cbacked Yellow Submarine54c379.63$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.63540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc910…8bbcbacked Yellow Submarine56c357.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6111656%65 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Execration18c351.19$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.921,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Yellow Submarine56c349.88$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9559254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yellow Submarine70c290$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7789938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Yellow Submarine69c284.57$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2262650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8232…d12fbacked Yellow Submarine55c283.6$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6228062.9%176 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yellow Submarine71c276.52$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8489238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Execration44c233.46$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7210138.6%39 W · 62 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Yellow Submarine54c225.93$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9314643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Execration45c214.48$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1833445.2%151 W · 183 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Execration27c209.94$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6230357.1%173 W · 130 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Execration45c188.35$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9410952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Execration34c184.05$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7358943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75c5…5bbabacked Yellow Submarine58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4121941.1%90 W · 129 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4953…bd5ebacked Execration30c170.21$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.323743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Execration19c167.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3381345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed Yellow Submarine53c160.38$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.387549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Execration35c154.86$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9344049.3%217 W · 223 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…91febacked Yellow Submarine53c148.81$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.94955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed Yellow Submarine54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.151428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-46.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Execration41c147.17$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0826050.4%131 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Execration32c140.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.737745.9%173 W · 204 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yellow Submarine70c137.85$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6553538.5%206 W · 329 L-26.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Yellow Submarine55c134.55$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5591356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3296…c186backed Yellow Submarine54c133.33$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3316552.1%86 W · 79 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3e6…8532backed Yellow Submarine65c132.73$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7310849.1%53 W · 55 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine77c132.33$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.22,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Execration25c127.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.251,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yellow Submarine54c126.02$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9719643.9%86 W · 110 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d33…6715backed Execration26c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.614543.4%63 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Yellow Submarine54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.119942.4%42 W · 57 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a53…71a3backed Yellow Submarine73c106.87$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.418562.7%116 W · 69 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab93…8479backed Yellow Submarine54c101.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.85850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Yellow Submarine64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3687645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Execration36c98.02$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1958746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2093…b974backed Yellow Submarine56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.294250%21 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Execration41c88.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4268345.8%313 W · 370 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Execration41c85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8569132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yellow Submarine61c84.52$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.961,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x142f…19f9backed Yellow Submarine56c81.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9323442.7%100 W · 134 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb695…f967backed Execration27c78.21$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4614243%61 W · 81 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Yellow Submarine66c78$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.841,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Execration43c76.27$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8215945.9%73 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Yellow Submarine52c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3631251.3%160 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Execration43c72.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2338…27f6backed Yellow Submarine54c72.22$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2211444.7%51 W · 63 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b9…1c02backed Yellow Submarine69c72.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.161060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Execration31c66.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2652046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc22a…a35cbacked Execration44c66.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2913540.7%55 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa28c…0042backed Yellow Submarine54c66.07$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.074042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Execration44c65.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.58445.2%38 W · 46 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Execration46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019455.7%108 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Execration35c57.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9356945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed Yellow Submarine53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.614566.2%96 W · 49 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x765b…5043backed Yellow Submarine54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.561442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Execration46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252313%3 W · 20 L-5.7wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-72.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9437…235ebacked Yellow Submarine56c54.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf0…ff0abacked Execration32c53.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick28cpaid-66.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Execration35c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.360%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yellow Submarine69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.519440.7%79 W · 115 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x871f…3330backed Yellow Submarine61c49.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.421656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Yellow Submarine76c49.17$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.621,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yellow Submarine71c47.97$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8993546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Yellow Submarine47c44.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7325349.4%125 W · 128 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed Yellow Submarine80c38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.625354.5%138 W · 115 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ffd…08fabacked Yellow Submarine53c36.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2814052.9%74 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Yellow Submarine57c34.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8335461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc17e…1813backed Yellow Submarine55c32.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.733554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Execration45c31.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.327651.3%39 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Execration44c26.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7952950.9%269 W · 260 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c8b…0644backed Yellow Submarine56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.792965.5%19 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Execration40c26.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6866947.1%315 W · 354 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Execration40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108254.9%45 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bbf…7ce5backed Execration45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yellow Submarine77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.644474.8%332 W · 112 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Yellow Submarine70c19.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8114848%71 W · 77 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bda…c134backed Yellow Submarine79c18.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.996450%32 W · 32 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yellow Submarine60c17.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.033661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ee…83b0backed Yellow Submarine64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6315742%66 W · 91 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.