Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc384d8f5983ccbd90edcec0834ebde0f9e503a79cfb4beb126f72b5a1e624757
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, Execration
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Execration | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.97 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Execration | 33c | 2,916$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 2,843$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.59 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Execration | 43c | 1,782$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.84 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaecb…614abacked Yellow Submarine | 68c | 1,450$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Execration | 27c | 1,099$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.67 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Yellow Submarine | 79c | 988.42$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.6 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Yellow Submarine | 59c | 852.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.34 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4a…823abacked Yellow Submarine | 60c | 830$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Yellow Submarine | 54c | 787.37$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.42 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…60babacked Yellow Submarine | 58c | 685.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.98 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Yellow Submarine | 55c | 681.09$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.84 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b51…cf1ebacked Yellow Submarine | 55c | 598.53$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Execration | 45c | 555.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.19 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Execration | 27c | 545.88$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.87 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked Yellow Submarine | 54c | 517.8$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.37 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…76e4backed Execration | 22c | 456.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Execration | 44c | 453.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2776…4ecbbacked Execration | 46c | 434$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…c16cbacked Yellow Submarine | 54c | 379.63$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Yellow Submarine | 56c | 357.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.61 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Execration | 18c | 351.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Yellow Submarine | 56c | 349.88$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.95 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yellow Submarine | 70c | 290$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.77 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 284.57$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Yellow Submarine | 55c | 283.6$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.62 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yellow Submarine | 71c | 276.52$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Execration | 44c | 233.46$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 225.93$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.93 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Execration | 45c | 214.48$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Execration | 27c | 209.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Execration | 45c | 188.35$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Execration | 34c | 184.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…5bbabacked Yellow Submarine | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4953…bd5ebacked Execration | 30c | 170.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Execration | 19c | 167.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 160.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Execration | 35c | 154.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…91febacked Yellow Submarine | 53c | 148.81$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Execration | 41c | 147.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Execration | 32c | 140.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yellow Submarine | 70c | 137.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Yellow Submarine | 55c | 134.55$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…c186backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 133.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed Yellow Submarine | 65c | 132.73$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 77c | 132.33$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Execration | 25c | 127.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 126.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed Execration | 26c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Yellow Submarine | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Yellow Submarine | 73c | 106.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8479backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Execration | 36c | 98.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…b974backed Yellow Submarine | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Execration | 41c | 88.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Execration | 41c | 85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yellow Submarine | 61c | 84.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed Yellow Submarine | 56c | 81.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…f967backed Execration | 27c | 78.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Execration | 43c | 76.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Execration | 43c | 72.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 72.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…1c02backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 72.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Execration | 31c | 66.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Execration | 44c | 66.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa28c…0042backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 66.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Execration | 44c | 65.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Execration | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Execration | 35c | 57.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 145 | 66.2%96 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…5043backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Execration | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…235ebacked Yellow Submarine | 56c | 54.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…ff0abacked Execration | 32c | 53.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Execration | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871f…3330backed Yellow Submarine | 61c | 49.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yellow Submarine | 76c | 49.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yellow Submarine | 71c | 47.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 44.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed Yellow Submarine | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…08fabacked Yellow Submarine | 53c | 36.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Yellow Submarine | 57c | 34.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…1813backed Yellow Submarine | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Execration | 45c | 31.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Execration | 44c | 26.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8b…0644backed Yellow Submarine | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Execration | 40c | 26.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Execration | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Execration | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yellow Submarine | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Yellow Submarine | 70c | 19.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bda…c134backed Yellow Submarine | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yellow Submarine | 60c | 17.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.