Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x113d86ec0e10422cc3914306527676169b8ed2fdd1e37913bba776ee6f7bc5d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, Execration
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Yellow Submarine | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.96 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Yellow Submarine | 63c | 5,507$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.57 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Execration | 39c | 4,661$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.28 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Execration | 45c | 4,231$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.53 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Execration | 41c | 3,001$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.82 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Execration | 33c | 2,889$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.84 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Execration | 13c | 2,462$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.69 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yellow Submarine | 56c | 2,335$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.54 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 1,940$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.19 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2eeabacked Execration | 41c | 1,887$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Execration | 35c | 1,790$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 1,644$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.31 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Execration | 66c | 1,610$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.9 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…52fabacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 1,454$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Execration | 44c | 1,357$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Execration | 33c | 1,136$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.88 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Execration | 35c | 1,016$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.24 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 967.34$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.42 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…6bf4backed Execration | 60c | 942.08$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 920$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Execration | 39c | 843.87$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.3 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Yellow Submarine | 63c | 749.97$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.09 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Execration | 19c | 743.15$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.27 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Execration | 55c | 730.5$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Yellow Submarine | 65c | 571.59$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.06 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…21e0backed Execration | 37c | 542.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Execration | 40c | 439.16$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Yellow Submarine | 69c | 416.99$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.35 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…1c02backed Yellow Submarine | 75c | 407.36$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 363.64$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.04 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Execration | 45c | 357.73$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.22 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked Yellow Submarine | 78c | 329.99$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Execration | 23c | 323$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Execration | 35c | 313.45$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.06 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c3bfbacked Execration | 38c | 257.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yellow Submarine | 68c | 255.89$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yellow Submarine | 75c | 245.64$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…9110backed Yellow Submarine | 73c | 232.1$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Execration | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Yellow Submarine | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Yellow Submarine | 25c | 196.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.78 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Execration | 28c | 195.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 185.71$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…200abacked Execration | 33c | 183.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 170.94$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Execration | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed Yellow Submarine | 75c | 157.62$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Execration | 55c | 153.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Execration | 27c | 145.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60f…1490backed Execration | 35c | 143.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 78.2%43 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2b…b09bbacked Yellow Submarine | 61c | 134.19$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…d04bbacked Yellow Submarine | 64c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…1388backed Execration | 35c | 113.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Execration | 48c | 109.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked Execration | 27c | 107.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Execration | 45c | 105.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Yellow Submarine | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e7…1082backed Yellow Submarine | 55c | 95.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…5cd6backed Yellow Submarine | 63c | 92.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed Yellow Submarine | 63c | 92.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Execration | 44c | 92.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed Execration | 33c | 92.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Yellow Submarine | 71c | 79.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Execration | 73c | 78.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 73.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Execration | 39c | 66.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Execration | 34c | 66.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…f967backed Execration | 35c | 62.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Yellow Submarine | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Execration | 37c | 61.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Execration | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed Yellow Submarine | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Execration | 24c | 53.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x082a…cc8abacked Execration | 45c | 52.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yellow Submarine | 63c | 50.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yellow Submarine | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yellow Submarine | 65c | 49.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb6…052dbacked Yellow Submarine | 64c | 46.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Yellow Submarine | 68c | 45.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yellow Submarine | 63c | 44.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed Execration | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Yellow Submarine | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…5651backed Execration | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…fe2cbacked Yellow Submarine | 54c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…a9c2backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 33.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Yellow Submarine | 67c | 28.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed Yellow Submarine | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Yellow Submarine | 77c | 25.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…1323backed Execration | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6972…b871backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 25.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed Yellow Submarine | 72c | 20.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Yellow Submarine | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked Yellow Submarine | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yellow Submarine | 79c | 18.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Group AYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.