Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6263d70c2dbbecda68b5a3f5b92cf3cf08dd110f36922dfdf5d1a121263b2083
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TEC Esportsof Bilibili Gaming, TEC Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed TEC Esports | 61c | 2,575$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.08 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TEC Esports | 62c | 2,007$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.32 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 1,913$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.12 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd76b…e9d5backed Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 1,286$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked TEC Esports | 70c | 1,027$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.67 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…d0dbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 625$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 35c | 605.39$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.19 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 555$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.45 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 445$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.53 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 329.81$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.68 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 314.98$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.14 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 284.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed TEC Esports | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Bilibili Gaming | 54c | 197.91$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.15 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 184$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Bilibili Gaming | 35c | 182.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed TEC Esports | 40c | 175$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Bilibili Gaming | 32c | 161.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked TEC Esports | 65c | 139.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Bilibili Gaming | 35c | 137.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Bilibili Gaming | 42c | 126$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Bilibili Gaming | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 118.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 176 | 40.3%71 W · 105 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310f…36a8backed TEC Esports | 60c | 108.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Bilibili Gaming | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed TEC Esports | 62c | 78.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…c45dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 77.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed TEC Esports | 64c | 74.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 32c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 137 | 41.6%57 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaBilibili Gaming won
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 WinnerTEC Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.