Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x488985eb7dff3244492cc38759244c518086f618fcdb17604fce98d1f50e5964
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- XLG Gamingof All Gamers, XLG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x904e…0becbacked All Gamers | 29c | 6,199$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.95 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked All Gamers | 40c | 3,495$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.27 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked XLG Gaming | 60c | 3,301$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.16 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed XLG Gaming | 60c | 2,923$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.88 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked All Gamers | 43c | 1,514$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.19 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked All Gamers | 47c | 1,319$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.55 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed XLG Gaming | 58c | 1,178$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.41 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed All Gamers | 43c | 1,109$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.28 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6277backed XLG Gaming | 51c | 1,100$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.99 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked All Gamers | 49c | 742.81$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.24 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed All Gamers | 13c | 657.27$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.42 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed All Gamers | 37c | 621.14$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.81 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed All Gamers | 32c | 551.31$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.83 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed All Gamers | 56c | 519.53$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.57 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed XLG Gaming | 46c | 422.7$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.75 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked XLG Gaming | 65c | 395.96$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.59 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked All Gamers | 41c | 365.33$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.46 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked All Gamers | 38c | 365.32$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed All Gamers | 51c | 354.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.47 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked XLG Gaming | 61c | 326.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.34 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…1e6fbacked All Gamers | 48c | 319.49$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.11 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed XLG Gaming | 62c | 306.32$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.32 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked XLG Gaming | 51c | 290.8$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.37 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed XLG Gaming | 67c | 285.41$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed All Gamers | 48c | 280$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed XLG Gaming | 72c | 277.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed All Gamers | 31c | 266.87$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.73 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe3…eaafbacked XLG Gaming | 54c | 265.33$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked XLG Gaming | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed XLG Gaming | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed XLG Gaming | 79c | 201.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…ca45backed All Gamers | 15c | 191$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed XLG Gaming | 67c | 179$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…b109backed All Gamers | 51c | 173$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.54 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +22.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked XLG Gaming | 49c | 162.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed XLG Gaming | 67c | 160$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed All Gamers | 41c | 149.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed XLG Gaming | 51c | 127.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdf…3e2abacked XLG Gaming | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed All Gamers | 20c | 107.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1ecbbacked All Gamers | 36c | 106.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked XLG Gaming | 66c | 105.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked XLG Gaming | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed XLG Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc290…2e06backed All Gamers | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked All Gamers | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed All Gamers | 61c | 97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed XLG Gaming | 63c | 74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed All Gamers | 58c | 68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed XLG Gaming | 64c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed All Gamers | 34c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed XLG Gaming | 51c | 46.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed XLG Gaming | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked XLG Gaming | 56c | 43.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed XLG Gaming | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2261…ffd1backed XLG Gaming | 47c | 35.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked XLG Gaming | 60c | 35.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked All Gamers | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked All Gamers | 56c | 34.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked XLG Gaming | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed All Gamers | 62c | 33.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed All Gamers | 51c | 32.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa144…fc6cbacked XLG Gaming | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed All Gamers | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7070…821cbacked All Gamers | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…7262backed All Gamers | 48c | 20.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b21…acb9backed XLG Gaming | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd751…3bf7backed XLG Gaming | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs All Gamers (+1.5)XLG Gaming won
- Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaXLG Gaming won
- Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 WinnerXLG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.