Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x585be940856c82656798ad901b76c9d1f0d5a7988cc690e0e9427c53ea5979eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- XLG Gamingof XLG Gaming, Dragon Ranger Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked XLG Gaming | 73c | 1,997$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.28 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…1e6fbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 52c | 1,992$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.65 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked XLG Gaming | 52c | 1,443$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.75 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 1,322$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.84 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed XLG Gaming | 61c | 940.3$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.51 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed XLG Gaming | 60c | 731.91$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.03 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x260f…6980backed XLG Gaming | 54c | 560.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.61 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 25c | 520.5$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.89 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed XLG Gaming | 37c | 490.86$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.88 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 424.15$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.39 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…20bdbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 14c | 361.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 34c | 354.86$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.65 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1ecbbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 34c | 310.16$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 39c | 262.08$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.14 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked XLG Gaming | 65c | 260$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.83 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c23…cab3backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 55c | 224$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 35c | 215.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 71c | 204.49$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.76 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 12c | 172.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…8bfdbacked XLG Gaming | 60c | 169.58$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked XLG Gaming | 64c | 153.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked XLG Gaming | 67c | 153.49$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 37c | 150.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 39c | 150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…bdebbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 37c | 135.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed XLG Gaming | 55c | 135$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed XLG Gaming | 65c | 131.15$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked XLG Gaming | 71c | 128.43$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked XLG Gaming | 77c | 110.06$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 50c | 108.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed XLG Gaming | 56c | 107.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked XLG Gaming | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 99.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…5e95backed XLG Gaming | 66c | 97.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed XLG Gaming | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 38c | 78.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 35c | 73.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 34c | 73.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked XLG Gaming | 54c | 70.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 49c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked XLG Gaming | 54c | 66.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 35c | 63.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed XLG Gaming | 54c | 50.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…af40backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 75c | 50.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked XLG Gaming | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…ca45backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 23c | 49.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe865…ae26backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 40c | 43.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 38cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed XLG Gaming | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked XLG Gaming | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 45c | 23.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…ba0ebacked XLG Gaming | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked XLG Gaming | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5)XLG Gaming won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaXLG Gaming won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 WinnerXLG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.