Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf71b585a9f3c6d6f01d2fe717ce1e3e929ad6f37e05c2a65dfc6e48016bec3d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wolves Esportsof Bilibili Gaming, Wolves Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked Wolves Esports | 75c | 6,788$5,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.38 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 1,004$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.97 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Bilibili Gaming | 72c | 976.63$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.71 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bilibili Gaming | 33c | 857.74$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.22 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Wolves Esports | 47c | 764.21$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.24 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 700.01$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.83 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 675.22$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.89 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Wolves Esports | 73c | 643.96$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.8 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 491.35$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.33 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Bilibili Gaming | 6c | 483.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Wolves Esports | 41c | 423.77$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.27 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 351.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.94 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 319.91$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.73 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Wolves Esports | 32c | 314.21$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.66 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wolves Esports | 38c | 299.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdf…3e2abacked Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 285.08$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.45 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 31c | 274.64$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 45c | 270.17$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.91 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Bilibili Gaming | 75c | 269.67$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.25 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21c…1a43backed Bilibili Gaming | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 190$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a5…4ec9backed Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 167.59$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…2101backed Bilibili Gaming | 74c | 165.13$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.75 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed Bilibili Gaming | 10c | 159.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Wolves Esports | 21c | 150$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.25 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Wolves Esports | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wolves Esports | 33c | 148.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.76 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…418bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 131.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Wolves Esports | 36c | 120.17$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.91 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Wolves Esports | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Bilibili Gaming | 46c | 106.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed Bilibili Gaming | 45c | 104.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Wolves Esports | 27c | 103.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.57 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…9f99backed Bilibili Gaming | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -7.3wins | -0.38per pick | 59cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bilibili Gaming | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…284ebacked Wolves Esports | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Wolves Esports | 72c | 98.42$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Wolves Esports | 42c | 79.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 77.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Wolves Esports | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Wolves Esports | 48c | 66.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d68…cd6abacked Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Wolves Esports | 40c | 61.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Wolves Esports | 26c | 56.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Wolves Esports | 35c | 52.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 43c | 50.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Wolves Esports | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Wolves Esports | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 46.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 36c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Wolves Esports | 36c | 41.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa683…6692backed Wolves Esports | 60c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Wolves Esports | 41c | 40.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Wolves Esports | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 38.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…11b8backed Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 37.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Bilibili Gaming | 36c | 35.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…d186backed Bilibili Gaming | 58c | 27.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Bilibili Gaming | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Wolves Esports | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Bilibili Gaming (-2.5) vs Wolves Esports (+2.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Map Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Wolves Esports (+1.5)Wolves Esports won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaBilibili Gaming won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.