TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Map Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Wolves Esports (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Wolves Esportsof Bilibili Gaming, Wolves Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,929
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,929 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe8a…23cebacked Bilibili Gaming55c500.01$274 inLost-$274.3555348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Bilibili Gaming60c395$236 inLost-$235.9552050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Wolves Esports27c321.08$86 inWon+$234.6340731.7%129 W · 278 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Wolves Esports64c202.78$130 inWon+$7314955.7%83 W · 66 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Wolves Esports62c200$124 inWon+$764553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Wolves Esports49c186.38$91 inWon+$95.3939166%258 W · 133 L+24.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked Bilibili Gaming36c119.44$43 inLost-$4310346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24f5…98d2backed Wolves Esports42c107$45 inWon+$62.263557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Wolves Esports47c105.02$50 inWon+$55.2449255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed Bilibili Gaming36c83.33$30 inLost-$3026354.4%143 W · 120 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x090a…8da8backed Wolves Esports63c79.24$50 inWon+$29.242650%13 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Bilibili Gaming36c31.76$11 inLost-$11.4321457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Bilibili Gaming36c29.71$11 inLost-$10.756551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Wolves Esports63c18$11 inWon+$6.5893049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9816…8ff4backed Wolves Esports64c15.63$10 inWon+$5.633151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.