Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x044561967dd9795b5fe3158146878b6b34e53b2ff6f21ad42e59c109be31a66f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, Wolves Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Wolves Esports | 18c | 1,540$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.68 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Wolves Esports | 18c | 1,495$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.97 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c23…cab3backed Wolves Esports | 33c | 1,291$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.7 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Wolves Esports | 27c | 967.83$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Wolves Esports | 2c | 868$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Wolves Esports | 15c | 836.07$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.79 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 833.54$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Wolves Esports | 17c | 607.13$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.07 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Wolves Esports | 16c | 551.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed Wolves Esports | 13c | 463.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Wolves Esports | 25c | 343.54$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Wolves Esports | 26c | 340.75$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ed…6813backed Wolves Esports | 16c | 308.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Wolves Esports | 21c | 307.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Wolves Esports | 17c | 303.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Wolves Esports | 18c | 295.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91a5…4ec9backed Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 243.84$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…aeb7backed Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 214.44$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Wolves Esports | 9c | 194.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wolves Esports | 18c | 184.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Wolves Esports | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked Wolves Esports | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 14%13 W · 80 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa21c…1a43backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 127.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…4b6fbacked Wolves Esports | 26c | 115.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Wolves Esports | 25c | 107$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 105.08$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…9f99backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -7.3wins | -0.38per pick | 59cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Wolves Esports | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Wolves Esports | 15c | 93.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Wolves Esports | 26c | 82.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed Wolves Esports | 31c | 80.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Wolves Esports | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Wolves Esports | 23c | 71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Wolves Esports | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Wolves Esports | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked Wolves Esports | 22c | 59.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Wolves Esports | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Wolves Esports | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d68…cd6abacked Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 42.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Wolves Esports | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 25.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Bilibili Gaming (-2.5) vs Wolves Esports (+2.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Map Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Wolves Esports (+1.5)Wolves Esports won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaBilibili Gaming won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 WinnerWolves Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.