Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Morocco?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ec13224ab8204de9b6d6ef8e090bec73dc4151f6544e05e663f297979146b1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 5c | 50,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fd…a851backed Yes | 5c | 14,693$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.52 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 5,936$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.55 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked Yes | 5c | 5,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 5c | 4,498$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.76 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3a…d724backed Yes | 5c | 4,255$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Yes | 5c | 2,548$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…33b6backed Yes | 4c | 2,278$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…4041backed Yes | 4c | 2,222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…aee2backed Yes | 4c | 2,222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes | 5c | 2,112$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 121 | 9.1%11 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…24a3backed Yes | 5c | 2,070$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9da7backed Yes | 5c | 1,938$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Yes | 5c | 1,600$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,538$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 5c | 1,500$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…4e15backed Yes | 5c | 1,429$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…dfb6backed Yes | 8c | 1,284$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 4c | 1,154$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 31.4%61 W · 133 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f61…8687backed Yes | 5c | 1,064$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 11.1%15 W · 120 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes | 5c | 1,026$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 98 | 22.4%22 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd2…8e36backed Yes | 5c | 1,020$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc6…f3ddbacked Yes | 5c | 885.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 5c | 869.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67cf…2371backed Yes | 5c | 869.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 5c | 833.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 4c | 796.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 6c | 717.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 5c | 700$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7588…df60backed Yes | 4c | 655.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 107 | 11.2%12 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 4c | 639.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…bbcabacked Yes | 7c | 629.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a44…b156backed Yes | 5c | 612.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…cd31backed Yes | 5c | 599.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 205 | 11.7%24 W · 181 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 4c | 596.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 7c | 582$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 5c | 520.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…45cfbacked Yes | 4c | 477.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 284 | 25%71 W · 213 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…ee0fbacked Yes | 5c | 450$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 177 | 23.7%42 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 5c | 442$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 5c | 419.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…3b09backed Yes | 5c | 416.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b98…5beabacked Yes | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 5c | 379$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Yes | 4c | 365.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…e8e1backed Yes | 6c | 328.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce7…40a4backed Yes | 4c | 317.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 6c | 314$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…dde6backed Yes | 6c | 253.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 132 | 6.8%9 W · 123 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8026…4005backed Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Morocco?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 3 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco?Yes won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Morocco?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.