Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nova Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6a1eba78e042b0fa24bc8feb10efd2d892c7acd3fafbb3b9c294ef0acb4beff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nova Esportsof Nova Esports, FunPlus Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 19c | 1,172$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.12 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FunPlus Phoenix | 56c | 1,072$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.92 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Nova Esports | 47c | 926.42$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.52 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed FunPlus Phoenix | 28c | 558.61$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.21 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed FunPlus Phoenix | 57c | 389.93$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.26 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Nova Esports | 43c | 389.93$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.26 | 176 | 40.3%71 W · 105 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed FunPlus Phoenix | 49c | 351$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.08 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nova Esports | 64c | 346.12$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.29 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 58c | 241.97$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.47 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Nova Esports | 79c | 239.31$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Nova Esports | 32c | 202.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.44 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Nova Esports | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nova Esports | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Nova Esports | 40c | 197.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.18 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed FunPlus Phoenix | 37c | 181.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed FunPlus Phoenix | 63c | 176$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.08 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nova Esports | 61c | 163.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nova Esports | 69c | 135.35$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FunPlus Phoenix | 36c | 108.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0b…e9d9backed Nova Esports | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Nova Esports | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Nova Esports | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Nova Esports | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FunPlus Phoenix | 29c | 83.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…b109backed Nova Esports | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +22.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Nova Esports | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked FunPlus Phoenix | 32c | 55.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Nova Esports | 41c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nova Esports | 64c | 54.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nova Esports | 60c | 53.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…b2ddbacked Nova Esports | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed FunPlus Phoenix | 59c | 48.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Nova Esports | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 42c | 42.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked FunPlus Phoenix | 44c | 37.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FunPlus Phoenix | 55c | 37.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nova Esports | 27c | 37.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 60c | 36.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x960a…1b17backed FunPlus Phoenix | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked FunPlus Phoenix | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed FunPlus Phoenix | 59c | 31.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…bb7ebacked FunPlus Phoenix | 48c | 31.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed FunPlus Phoenix | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…a87fbacked Nova Esports | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Nova Esports | 78c | 28.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0d…6326backed FunPlus Phoenix | 51c | 25.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Nova Esports | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf74c…4b75backed FunPlus Phoenix | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Nova Esports | 75c | 23.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5896…447cbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…b622backed FunPlus Phoenix | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nova Esports | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 60c | 16.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nova Esports | 74c | 16.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group AlphaNova Esports won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 1 WinnerNova Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.