Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nova Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6eee9446e494e3b19feea82442f01353ee04c830e408fe6d3930c96a11ab6040
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nova Esportsof Nova Esports, FunPlus Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked FunPlus Phoenix | 58c | 786.44$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.62 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Nova Esports | 51c | 645.74$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.96 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FunPlus Phoenix | 59c | 629.99$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.46 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed FunPlus Phoenix | 37c | 588.35$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.54 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed FunPlus Phoenix | 66c | 561.06$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.09 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…b109backed FunPlus Phoenix | 8c | 300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +22.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Nova Esports | 56c | 296.06$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.07 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed FunPlus Phoenix | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…859cbacked Nova Esports | 44c | 244.03$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.88 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nova Esports | 37c | 217$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.7 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…aea9backed FunPlus Phoenix | 74c | 213$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.2 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FunPlus Phoenix | 72c | 192.08$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.97 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nova Esports | 31c | 184.57$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.33 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 12c | 169.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nova Esports | 58c | 167.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nova Esports | 47c | 164.55$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nova Esports | 37c | 159.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Nova Esports | 47c | 147.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed FunPlus Phoenix | 51c | 134.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nova Esports | 34c | 131$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked Nova Esports | 79c | 125.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed FunPlus Phoenix | 53c | 123.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 66c | 117.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Nova Esports | 30c | 100.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed FunPlus Phoenix | 58c | 98.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Nova Esports | 36c | 97.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nova Esports | 40c | 91.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FunPlus Phoenix | 46c | 86.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nova Esports | 45c | 66.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Nova Esports | 33c | 62.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Nova Esports | 32c | 60.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nova Esports | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Nova Esports | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…ed08backed Nova Esports | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 58c | 43.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nova Esports | 34c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FunPlus Phoenix | 48c | 34.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Nova Esports | 35c | 32.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed FunPlus Phoenix | 68c | 30.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 49c | 23.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…a87fbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e3…de14backed FunPlus Phoenix | 62c | 17.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group AlphaNova Esports won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 2 WinnerNova Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.