CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad8ea0372e83131607ce11b5d4ff3fa3c63e389bbb5ffc4e1dbcf96401120f0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Phantom, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6566…ea1ebacked Phantom | 71c | 2,714$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked Leo Team | 68c | 2,112$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.37 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Phantom | 42c | 1,473$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.72 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Leo Team | 55c | 1,471$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.69 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Leo Team | 53c | 1,465$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.14 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…48dabacked Leo Team | 11c | 1,105$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Leo Team | 29c | 811.61$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.28 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Leo Team | 38c | 651.78$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.03 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Leo Team | 54c | 639.22$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.18 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Phantom | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Phantom | 47c | 586.57$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.56 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed Phantom | 44c | 561.36$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.36 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Phantom | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Phantom | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked Phantom | 46c | 439.11$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.12 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom | 44c | 429.9$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.06 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Phantom | 48c | 415.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.06 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Leo Team | 28c | 389$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Phantom | 27c | 350$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.5 | 193 | 42.5%82 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Leo Team | 52c | 349.15$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.36 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Phantom | 48c | 312$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Phantom | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed Leo Team | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked Phantom | 46c | 277.31$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.7 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Phantom | 46c | 271.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.7 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Phantom | 45c | 270.35$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.85 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d1…e145backed Phantom | 27c | 258.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Phantom | 48c | 247.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.63 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Phantom | 45c | 240.72$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.4 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Leo Team | 29c | 211.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed Leo Team | 32c | 203.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Leo Team | 54c | 187.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Leo Team | 57c | 187.93$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Leo Team | 30c | 186.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…c111backed Leo Team | 6c | 165.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Leo Team | 54c | 164.31$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…f078backed Phantom | 44c | 160$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Leo Team | 12c | 155$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Leo Team | 54c | 152.07$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Phantom | 32c | 151.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.71 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Phantom | 65c | 149.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Leo Team | 51c | 146.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Phantom | 44c | 137.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Leo Team | 56c | 134$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Leo Team | 37c | 122.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Leo Team | 44c | 117.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…17cfbacked Phantom | 45c | 112.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…0da3backed Leo Team | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Leo Team | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked Phantom | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Leo Team | 58c | 95.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leo Team | 56c | 92.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Phantom | 46c | 91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Phantom | 47c | 81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Leo Team | 20c | 75.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca84…801dbacked Phantom | 44c | 74.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…bc9dbacked Phantom | 37c | 66.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Phantom | 46c | 63.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Phantom | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Phantom | 46c | 62.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed Phantom | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Phantom | 47c | 55.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Phantom | 63c | 43.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Leo Team | 55c | 43.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Phantom | 31c | 43.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Phantom | 32c | 40.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Leo Team | 55c | 39.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Phantom | 30c | 36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Phantom | 47c | 32.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Phantom | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Phantom | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0296…ad01backed Leo Team | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Leo Team | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Phantom | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Leo Team | 53c | 21.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Leo Team | 55c | 18.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Leo Team - Map 1 WinnerLeo Team won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Leo Team - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.